Mainstream Projections of World IQ Trends

These two charts are based upon the US Census International Database 2003. The projections involve roughly half the drop in global IQ projected by Al Fin's in-house projections. Our projections indicate a 6 point IQ drop from approximately 88 to roughly 82 between now and 2050. Mainstream predictions show a 3 point IQ drop from app. 89 to app. 86. The difference lies in the assumptions made.It is impossible to accurately predict fertility rates and death rates over a time period such as 2000 to 2050 -- which is likely to be extremely tumultuous for large areas of the globe. Whether 2050 will wake up to find a global average IQ in the mid-80s or in the low-80s, the trend toward an Idiocracy is well set.The annotated IQ distribution above illustrates the IQ levels necessary to perform different necessary functions for any modern society. If you mentally shift the curve to the left by 15 points -- 1 standard deviation -- you will understand the implications of a dysgenic shift in terms of available brainpower to perform basic functions. Most third world countries are already at a near - hopeless deficit of human capital. If the brainpower of the developed world shrinks away -- as it is in the middle of doing, who will feed the overpopulated third world and provide its medicines, its machinery, its basic needs?

Global IQ Fourmilab
Gene Expression IQ and Populations
Wikipedia "Dysgenics"