12 March 2008

Update: Sun Continues Warming Earth

Solar variance is responsible for up to 69% of Earth's warming over the past century.
We contend that the changes in Earth’s average surface temperature are directly linked to two distinctly different aspects of the Sun’s dynamics: the short-term statistical fluctuations in the Sun’s irradiance and the longer-term solar cycles. This argument for directly linking the Sun’s dynamics to the response of Earth’s climate is based on our research and augments the interpretation of the causes of global warming presented in the United Nations 2007 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report.1

...Thus the average global temperature record presents secular patterns of 22 and 11-year cycles and a short timescale fluctuation signature ( with apparent inverse power-law statistics ), both of which appear to be induced by solar dynamics. The same patterns are poorly reproduced by present-day GCMs and are dismissively interpreted as internal variability (noise) of climate. The non equilibrium thermodynamic models we used suggest that the Sun is influencing climate significantly more than the IPCC report claims. If climate is as sensitive to solar changes as the above phenomenological findings suggest,the current anthropogenic contribution to global warming is significantly over estimated. We estimate that the Sun could account for as much as 69% of the increase in Earth’s average temperature, depending on the TSI reconstruction used.5 Furthermore, if the Sun does cool off, as some solar forecasts predict will happen over the next few decades, that cooling could stabilize Earth’s climate and avoid the catastrophic consequences predicted in the IPCC report. ___PDFSource__via__Greenwatch
Evidence continues to accumulate which disassociates recent temperature trends from CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere. Yet at the same time, governments of Earth's advanced nations are maneuvering their economies into a collision course with artificially created energy shortages--out of baseless fears of CO2 gas. By using fear of CO2 to artificially raise the costs of oil, nuclear, coal, biofuels, tar sands, and other sources of energy, the US Democratic Party-controlled US Congress along with various US state governments, the EU government, various Canadian governments etc., are creating predictable hardships for their own citizens.

The high cost of living in advanced countries is directly attributable to government spending and regulations. While governments use a trumped-up excuse of CO2 warming to raise the cost of heat, transport, and electricity for citizens, they gradually increase their control over more and more of the citizens' actions and lives.

The logical course of action for intelligent citizens is to change their governments--as quickly as possible. Replace corrupt fear-mongering officials with educated and reasonable individuals who are capable of creating the framework for a clean, sustainable, limitless future. There is enough totalitarianism in China, North Korea, Venezuela, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Zimbabwe without our leaders recreating the poverty and oppression--based on empty fears--here in the advanced world.

If unable to change their governments, the next step for intelligent citizens of corrupt governments is to create their own parallel infrastructure of living, that bypasses government regulations and controls to the greatest extent possible. It may be time for libertarians to stop wasting time playing in the sandbox of conventional politics, and to begin laying out a framework of alternative, low-government living.

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5 Comments:

Blogger IConrad said...

It's called Agorism.

Wednesday, 12 March, 2008  
Blogger al fin said...

Konkin's agorism was something like Rand's Galt's Gulch in Atlas Shrugged. Take away the validity of the system so it will collapse.

The point I am trying to make is not to bring down the current system, but rather to find ways to prosper outside the current system as much as possible. Safeguarding the seeds of the future outside the battleground between the future and the present.

The current system must change, one way or another to become the future. I am more concerned with finding ways to bridge to viable systems of the future, while the current system is trying to decide which way it wants to fail.

Wednesday, 12 March, 2008  
Blogger Audacious Epigone said...

"I am more concerned with finding ways to bridge to viable systems of the future, while the current system is trying to decide which way it wants to fail."

Is that the essence of what you mean in using the phrase "the next level" in your vignette?

Thursday, 13 March, 2008  
Blogger al fin said...

Yes, AE, the idea is to preserve the "seeds of the next level" in spite of the best efforts of "doomseekers" and "dark agers" to eliminate cutting edge technologies so as to short circuit "the singularity."

The next level is a loose concept for a technologically achieved society of humans with high intelligence and long lifespan. More importantly, next level humans will have developed strong Executive Function, character, and life wisdom, by virtue of having more fully lived their childhoods and youth (as opposed to current psychologically neotenogenic child-raising).

Developing the potential of humans by taking advantage of the many known and (currently) unknown critical periods of development.

One particularly salient marker of how badly things have gone wrong with education and child-raising is the global political predominance of CAGW. We are seeing billionaires being made from irrational CO2 hysteria. Another marker of the failure of modern human mental development in the US is the Obama political success and what it says for the lack of development of rationality (as opposed to emotion) in modern US youth.

Thursday, 13 March, 2008  
Blogger Audacious Epigone said...

Thanks for the explanation.

Tangentially, you might get a kick out of this video. It runs along the same lines as the Obama as Messiah site does, but it's more eerie and a bit unsettling.

Thursday, 13 March, 2008  

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“During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act” _George Orwell

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