06 February 2008

The Sun is Dimming--Meteoroligical Scientists are Being Forced to Fight for Funding to Monitor the Harbingers of a New (little) Ice Age

The sun is in a "funk"--unsure of what to do, when to kick into its new cycle: Solar Cycle 24.
The last such solar funk corresponded with a period of bitter cold that began around 1650 and lasted, with intermittent spikes of warming, until 1715. While there were competing causes for the climatic shift—including the Black Death’s depopulation of tree-cutting Europeans and, more substantially, increased volcanic activity spewing ash into the atmosphere—the sun’s lethargy likely had something to do with it.

...The planet’s climate is a messy picture, with all sorts of influences and feedback cycles that need to be taken into account. In order to build more accurate computer models, scientists need to understand both anthropogenic factors and the link between the sun and our planet, Tapping says. To help get at the sun’s influence, he and other researchers connect Earth’s temperature with historic sunspot records of sky watchers from Europe and China, as well as with carbon-14 isotopes­—residue from cosmic rays delivered by the sun’s magnetic field—found in tree rings. To understand our role in climate change,” he says, “we need to understand the natural process.”....“Things [new solar research telescopes] are all on hold due to the consequences of the huge science funding cuts in the U.S. and the U.K.,” Tapping says. “This is impacting other partner countries because of the possible need to cover financial holes. Nobody is clear yet as to how this will unfold so they are hanging onto their wallets, for the moment.”
PopMech

At least one veteran meteorologist is predicting the start of a global cooling, based upon satellite measured temperature trends combined with recent global weather patterns. The reluctance of the Sun to go ahead and do its job is simply an additional reason to be concerned.

Update:
R. Timothy Patterson, professor of geology and director of the Ottawa-Carleton Geoscience Center of Canada's Carleton University, says that "CO2 variations show little correlation with our planet's climate on long, medium and even short time scales."

Rather, he says, "I and the first-class scientists I work with are consistently finding excellent correlations between the regular fluctuations of the sun and earthly climate. This is not surprising. The sun and the stars are the ultimate source of energy on this planet."

Patterson, sharing Tapping's concern, says: "Solar scientists predict that, by 2020, the sun will be starting into its weakest Schwabe cycle of the past two centuries, likely leading to unusually cool conditions on Earth."

"Solar activity has overpowered any effect that CO2 has had before, and it most likely will again," Patterson says. "If we were to have even a medium-sized solar minimum, we could be looking at a lot more bad effects than 'global warming' would have had."___IBD


Global cooling is a potentially civilisation-stopping development--depending upon how far it goes. It could be a genuine catastrophe--in contrast to current overfunded CO2 hysteria. Scientific funding agencies have become steeped in a neo-Lysenkoism of climate, that is quickly taking on fascist overtones in terms of lack of tolerance of debate and dissent.

Westerners are being failed by their governments and scientific foundations. It is within the ability of many of the world's "concerned billionaires" to make up governmental deficits in funding for the vital heresies. Unfortunately, men such as Bill Gates, Warren Buffett, George Soros, etc. cannot be bothered with such things.

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2 Comments:

Blogger Bruce Hall said...

John Tierney at the NY Times had a post with similar issues. I posted the follow:

Most reputable scientists will agree that between 1985 [no, not 1885] and 2000 there appeared to be a global warming trend of a fraction of a degree.

Prior to that, the global thermometer was not functioning all that well and several proxies have been brought in to try to buttress arguments of a longer-term trend… but those are being systematically challenged and discarded.

There is evidence that since 2000, a general cooling has occurred with January, 2008 being the second coldest in 15 years as evidenced by arctic ice being restored to normal levels and most of Asia suffering from bitter cold and storms.

http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/2008/02/04/rss-sat ellite-data-for-jan08-2nd-coldest-january-for-the-plane t-in-15-years/

It is too soon to tell if this marks the beginning a new downturn in the natural oscillations of global temperature, but many scientists are arguing just that.

That said, the potential economic waste from scams such as carbon credits is immense. Scaremongers claim disease such as malaria will be more prevalent, but the world’s greatest outbreak of fatal malaria was in Siberia in the early 20th century… not exact equatorial territory.

The fact is that technology and medicine can more than offset the wildest possible negative impact if … if… the grossly exaggerated scenarios should occur. More likely is the expansion of longer growing seasons ensuring a more abundant food supply and greater survivability for humans and animals [both domestic and wild].

THE STRATEGY OF TAKING DRAMATIC, VERY EXPENSIVE ACTION TO REDUCE CO2 IS AKIN TO PUMPING EVERYONE WITH GOING INTO A HOSPITAL WITH MASSIVE AMOUNTS OF ANTIBIOTICS ON THE CHANCE THAT THEY MIGHT GET A BACTERIAL INFECTION FROM EXPOSURE TO SICK PEOPLE. The prevention is far worse than the risk.

Wednesday, 06 February, 2008  
Blogger al fin said...

Thanks, Bruce. I appreciate the input and links.

Wednesday, 06 February, 2008  

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“During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act” _George Orwell

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