The Incredible Vanishing European

“At the beginning of the eighteenth century, approximately 20 percent of the world’s inhabitants lived in Europe (including Russia). Then, with the Industrial Revolution, Europe’s population boomed, and streams of European emigrants set off for the Americas....

...By 2003, the combined populations of Europe, the United States, and Canada accounted for just 17 percent of the global population. In 2050, this figure is expected to be just 12 percent – far less than it was in 1700. _NewPopulationBomb _ as quoted here

But of that 12% in 2050, only perhaps half will be ethnic European. In other words, Europeans will represent about 5% of the ethnic contingent of 2050 Earth. By the year 2300, one can infer from UN population projections that the proportion of ethnic Europeans out of the entire world population will be close to 1%. (see links at bottom of page UN population report World Population in 2300 PDF ) [Taking into account differential birthrates between immigrants and their descendants, and indigenous Europeans]

....supporting elderly populations will—unless drastic steps are taken—absorb more and more of gross output. While the absolute numbers of those in working ages will be declining, the absolute numbers of those over sixty-five will be rising: for the EU-27 their numbers are expected to nearly double from today’s level, going from 85 million in 2008 to 151 million by 2060 (Giannakouris 2008, p. 7). To sustain its elderly population, Europe will have to spend more money on health care and pension support. It is not just that an elderly population will be ill; they may be quite active. But they will then demand the hip and knee replacements, cornea replacements, heart transplants, diabetes treatments, blood-pressure treatments, and other procedures and medications necessary to sustain an active and healthy life into older ages. This will occur at a time when the supply of new doctors and nurses will likely decline. _ Jack Goldstone, Europe's Brave New World. 2008 pdf

Russia will face the same problem even sooner -- and the results are likely to be catastrophic. Even China will find it difficult to overcome its own internal demographic transitions in order to fulfill the many poorly thought out prophecies of "A China Century."

Back to The New Population Bomb:

Part of the reason developed countries will be less economically dynamic is that their populations will be substantially older. The European countries, Canada, the United States, Japan, South Korea, and even China are aging at unprecedented rates. Today, the proportion of people aged 60 or older in China and South Korea is 12-15 percent. It is 15-22 percent in the European Union, Canada, and the United States and 30 percent in Japan. With baby boomers aging and life expectancy increasing, these numbers will increase dramatically. In 2050, approximately 30 percent of Americans, Canadians, Chinese, and Europeans will be over 60, as will more than 40 percent of Japanese and South Koreans. _as quoted in HBDBooks

In 1950, Bangladesh, Egypt, Indonesia, Nigeria, Pakistan, and Turkey had a combined population of 242 million. By 2009, those six countries were the world's most populous Muslim-majority countries and had a combined population of 886 million. Their populations are continuing to grow and indeed are expected to increase by 475 million between now and 2050--during which time, by comparison, the six most populous developed countries are projected to gain only 44 million inhabitants. Worldwide, of the 48 fastest-growing countries today--those with annual population growth of two percent or more--28 are majority Muslim or have Muslim minorities of 33 percent or more." as quoted here

While the populations of advanced nations will represent a lower and lower proportion of total Earthlings over the next several decades, within those advanced nations that have been traditionally European, the proportion of ethnic Europeans will shrink almost as quickly.

Shrinking Japan leads to a relatively empty and joyless island chain.  But shrinking Russia leads to vicious wars over a vast and rich territory that Russians can no longer defend.  And later, even shrinking China will lead to political instability, with the possibility of a descent into regional warlordism.

Europe itself will likely become a battleground between European secular ethnics and a range of militant Islamic immigrants and their descendants.  Already a few European cities are de facto under Islamic control or suffer humiliating political dominance by Islamic populations.  Freedom of speech is becoming rare in those Islamicised enclaves of Europe.

More on this topic later.