23 December 2009

Physicist Forecasts 50 Years of Global Cooling

Physicist Quing-bin Lu has published a study in the respected journal Physics Reports, that discovered a link between cosmic rays and climate change.  The same study finds that anthropogenic CO2 is not an important factor in global climate change.
Cosmic rays and chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), both already implicated in depleting the Earth’s ozone layer, are also responsible for changes in the global climate, a University of Waterloo scientist reports in a new peer-reviewed paper.

In his paper, Qing-Bin Lu, a professor of physics and astronomy, shows how CFCs - compounds once widely used as refrigerants - and cosmic rays - energy particles originating in outer space - are mostly to blame for climate change, rather than carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. His paper, derived from observations of satellite, ground-based and balloon measurements as well as an innovative use of an established mechanism, was published online in the prestigious journal Physics Reports.

”My findings do not agree with the climate models that conventionally thought that greenhouse gases, mainly CO2, are the major culprits for the global warming seen in the late 20th century,” Lu said. “Instead, the observed data show that CFCs conspiring with cosmic rays most likely caused both the Antarctic ozone hole and global warming....”

In his research, Lu discovers that while there was global warming from 1950 to 2000, there has been global cooling since 2002. The cooling trend will continue for the next 50 years, according to his new research observations. _HeraldSun
Research based upon observations is preferable to climate models that incorporate faulty data, include erroneous assumptions, and whose findings are edited by means similar to the way Hollywood directors edit feature films post-production in order to match a pre-determined finding.

Qing-bin Lu's findings are interesting, and will require confirmation. It will be interesting to see which climate research funding agencies will find the courage to step away from the herd of cattle, and begin funding genuine climate science for a change.

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3 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Nir Shaviv of Hebrew University also subscribes to the same cosmic ray theory, yet is still intimidated by other professors that he has to concede that carbon dioxide contributed to a third of global warming during the last century, which of course is BS. If you want to blame something man-made, then blame the concrete, asphalt, and urbanization and the accompanying "heat island effect" where most or some temp readings are measured.

Wednesday, 23 December, 2009  
Blogger al fin said...

Right. Heat island effect is one variant of human land use change -- which is one of Roger Pielke Sr.'s areas of expertise in climatology.

CO2 is a greenhouse gas, but a weak one. Its effect by itself is quite miniscule, according to the best observational evidence I have seen. 1 degree C per doubling of [CO2] may even be overstating the case.

Wednesday, 23 December, 2009  
Blogger neil craig said...

Warmth is generally nice. Cooling isn't. However if we get a Space elevator we can put up square miles of tinfoil mirrors. The solution to cooling & warming is the same - technological progress.

Thursday, 24 December, 2009  

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