Mama! He's Driving a Stake Through Global Warming!
Blogger Neil Craig paints an intriguing portrait of Steve McIntyre of Climate Audit. McIntyre is one of the most gentlemanly, intelligent, and articulate persons to blog on topics of climate. Yet he is the recipient of more hatred and bile than almost anyone on the internet. The reason he is hated by so many people involved in the climate-industrial complex is simple: McIntyre exposes the truth behind the data.
Once again Steve McIntyre has proven a crucial part of the global warming swindle to be without factual merit. In this case he has proven statistically that Michael Mann [actually Keith Briffa in this case __AF], in producing his Hockey Stick theory has deliberately faked his most basic evidence.Neil goes on to recount a long list of instances where McIntyre stood alone against powerful government financed institutions and scientists to expose mishandled data, faulty statistics, and erroneous conclusions. No wonder they hate McIntyre! If not for that amateur, they would be home-free and in the clear. But thanks to the climate auditor, instead of a long future of fame and adulation, they look forward to prospects of infamy and discarded laurels. In a wiser world, being shamed would be the best they should expect....
After 10 years of data being withheld that would allow true scientific replication, and after dozens of requests for that data, Steve McIntyre of Climate Audit finally was given access to the data from Yamal Peninsula, Russia. He discovered that only 12 trees had been used out of a much larger dataset of tree ring data. When the larger data set was plotted, there is no “hockey stick” of temperature, in fact it goes in the opposite direction. Get your primer here.
Since all 12 trees were very much at variance with the average readings from that group it is just statistically impossible that Mann [Briffa _AF] selected all 12 at random. Therefore it is fraud. These particular tree rings were the evidence on which the entire Hockey Stick theory, that we had flat temperatures for the previous, originally, 1,500 years & an unprecedented sharp rise this century. This is effectively the entire "global warming"/""climate change"/"dangerous climate change" case. _APlaceToStand
....Oh, mama! How can they let that man drive a stake through global warming? Will Al Gore have to give back his Nobel Prize? Will I have to stop believing what I saw in "An Inconvenient Truth?" Will I have to learn to love coal?
Here is a neutral look at this issue from The Register
Update 2 October2009: More on the downfall of Mann and Briffa from Ross McKitrick via climatedepot
More fallout from Briffa's Yamal contretemps
Note: McIntyre earlier demolished Michael Mann's methodology used in creating Mann's famous hockey stick -- upon which much of the early political momentum toward international carbon controls was built. Needing a new hockey stick, Keith Briffa came along with his own hockey stick built upon a carefully selected series of unrepresentative tree rings in the Yamal Peninsula of Russia. The current controversy in the climate world is over McIntyre's demolishing of Briffa's hockey stick. __ AF (in answer to commenter "taylor's" complaint)