23 April 2009

High Above the Bloody Streets Below

Welcome to the future, where city streets are war zones between drug gangs and sectarian militias. A world whose cities are like Beirut of the 1980s, where the sounds of firefights, car bombs, and bloody martyrdom greet one's ears more commonly than sounds of birds singing or children playing.Having been financially and morally depleted by the Obama administration of the early 2000s, the United States had long since lost its ability to keep trade routes safe, or to ride herd on trans-national criminal organisations and religious terrorist groups. At street level, it has become a free-for-all, worldwide. People of means began looking for higher ground.

The world's elites decided to create cities in the sky, in an attempt to escape the cheapness of human life on the streets below. By paying "protection fees" to street-level gangs and militias, the sky-cities' street level foundations and ground access were protected, for the most part. The last sky city to be brought down by the gangs was in Singapore of 2049. Subsequent brutal reprisals against the streets of Singapore by the triad owners of the felled Sky City left most of the island freehold uninhabitable to this day.
The rise of China as world hegemon in the early 2020s paved the way for expansion of third world corruption to Europe, North America, and Oceania -- regions formerly supportive of property rights and rule of law. Finally, as China itself fragmented into warring factions in the late 2020s, the entire world became a place without law. The teeming masses of the third world discovered that the developed world lacked the will to defend its borders. Soon there was no distinction between third world and first world.

Crime lords and militia leaders have no use for space launches, so every year another irreplaceable satellite falls flaming back to Earth. During the 2030s, nuclear arsenals finally fell into the hands of the gangs, and a few short nuclear wars quickly thinned the ranks of would-be nuclear terrorists and warriors. Several warheads turned out to be duds, and a few thousand self-styled nuclear submariners took residence in Davy Jones' locker. They lacked the competence to safely pilot the aging sea monsters -- particularly the Russian death traps.

As the skies of the world once again grow dingy with coal and wood smoke, all pretense of protecting the water and air of the planet are abandoned. Any species that cannot fend for themselves will suffer the fate of the dodo. Rain forests are slashed and burned, and huge pit mines gouge the surface of every continent and large island. This is the rapidly poisoning world that the many leftist environmental movements of the late 20th and early 21st centuries made possible, through their quasi-terrorist tactics against the world of law -- a world that was quickly shrinking under their noses. It took only an Obama presidency and the lack of any credible opposition for the "Greens" to finish off human economic freedoms and any chance for a clean prosperity that might carry men to the stars.

And so the wealthy few -- many of them crime lords themselves -- huddle in the uncertain safety of the sky cities. Listening to the bombs and gunfire far below. Forgetting how close the world had come to climbing out of the primitivity of lower human nature -- but now mired in the stinking, choking future of perpetual sectarian and criminal warfare.

H/T Inhabitat and Time

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7 Comments:

Blogger neil craig said...

I don't think the wealthy would wish to live in such close lateral proximity to rioters, I think they would just build gated communities in Aspen indeed they do. Also if there is anywhere that order & prosperity (in that order) will be maintained it is Singapore.

Friday, 24 April, 2009  
Blogger al fin said...

Perhaps, Neil, perhaps. If intelligent robots can be used in place of human menials, perhaps the ultra-wealthy can retreat behind high walls and strong gates. When do you think that breakthrough will occur. Soon enough? I'm not sure.

A lot of people seem to feel that way about Singapore. That is why I chose it as the last collapsed Sky City. There is a lot more going on at street level than you will read on the mainstream news.

Friday, 24 April, 2009  
Blogger Loren said...

The only places where anarchy would not reign would be those places where law and order still stand. There are a few places on the planet this would happen. I believe that Texas and a significant portion of the Rockies would be two such places.

As the world destroys itself, they establish new nation-states to defend against the variety of gangs and warlords that threaten, but can't get enough force together to threaten the well organized militia defenders of these places. The few troublesome urban areas in these temporary autonomous zones-turned nationstates would have to be purged quickly, probably by barricading and letting starvation and violence do the work.

The industrial capabilities in these areas would turn to serving each other, and finding ways to trade with one another while minimizing the protection that must be bought from mercenaries or the gangs that inhabit the badlands. biofuels from algae would augment oil from the Gulf of Mexico guarded by Texan ships. Bussard's Polywell generators would replace coal and natural gas.

Most of the initial drive would be to return to a reasonable amount of function after the "progressives" have lost enough influence to produce the TAZes. Soon after the autonomous zones, the drive to be together, whether real or created, would lead to new nations. Created from a multitude of TAZes though, they would be structured much like the original Confederacy, with very limited federal power. It would take a long time before the technology base recovers and the dreams of interstellar exploration take hold again.

Or something like that.

Friday, 24 April, 2009  
Blogger Acksiom said...

And then, in the fall of 2023, "Crazy" Joe Harshman, a raisin grower put out of business by corporate developers, mounts a surplus .50-caliber machine gun in his old Chevy and wins the demolition derby at the Fresno County Fair. . . .

Saturday, 25 April, 2009  
Blogger al fin said...

Loren: I agree that outposts of competence will probably survive through the difficult times ahead.

Here is a good question: what ratio of competent persons to freeloaders is the minimum requirement for a community or region to survive the extended Obama depression?

Most modern city dwellers belong to the freeloader group. Most college professors belong to the freeloader group. Most government bureaucrats belong to the freeloader group. Most Ivy League graduates belong to the freeloader group. It all comes down to the issue of personal competence -- a rare attribute that is approaching extinction.

Saturday, 25 April, 2009  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

If rich people can buy high resorts or high tower where to live, they are able to pay for police forces to take care of them in a "paralegal" way.
Big gangs and big traffickers are not out there to kill, maim or destroy; they are out for money first and power second; war and violence is bad for business, so they will avoid it as much as possible.

If the crisis is definitive, the old allegiances will be forgotten and the allegiance to the T-bill will go the same way. Without a state able to impose its will, all the debts of the US will default.
Then people will start anew, with less trust in paper money and will require that real trust is built in the system.

A collapse of the economy would cause a collapse of the society order only for a short time, because the people in the West is able to form new bonds and relations very fast. They not only have the will, but they have good reasont o do so. If the collapse is not followed by vast destruction and lost of lives, there is no real wealth lost. It is only redistributed.

By the way, without a state, people would be able to keep all of their income and use it accordingly to their self interest. This would cause people in the US to be two time wealthier and people in the EU to be three times wealthier. The people suffering would be the people on welfare or with unuseful government jobs. Many road blocks to development would be removed: no greens, no politics agendas against developments or simpaties for criminals.

Industrial centers would have many reasons to pay security forces and to continue to commerce with other industrial, agricultural and minerarial producers.

It is a bit like P2P networks like Gnutella; larger they are, greater is the number of nodes, shorter is the time needed to reconnect two separated subnetworks and more difficult is disassemble them.

And these nodes are able to produce weapons to keep the link up and running. The Swat Valley artisans are not up to the task to produce weapons in number and quality as industrial centers in EU or US. And petty criminals rarely are good producers. After a short time they would be out of ammo, weapons and luck.

Thursday, 30 April, 2009  
Blogger al fin said...

Interesting points, extro. There is really no good way to test them.

When an affluent market society loses the underlying trust in contracts and wealth exchange that allowed it to prosper, the resulting fractures can take a long time to heal. Particularly if the fractured society is the hegemon itself -- the one that other countries relied upon to help them recover when they stumbled.

Criminal organisations may not want to engage in large scale violence, but as long as they are challenged by other criminal organisations of roughly the same size and power, widespread bloody violence will continue.

Nature abhors a vacuum, and the fall of the global policeman will leave a rather large vacuum across large parts of the globe.

Friday, 01 May, 2009  

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