Runaway Expertitis: Low-IQ Societies Vulnerable
Imagine living in a world where the average IQ is 70. There are plenty of people, since procreation is more or less instinctive and requires no particular thought, training, or discipline. But effective health care is in short supply, so one makes due with witch doctors. People die of a lot of diseases which are virtually non-existent in more intelligent societies. Fuel is in short supply, so one strips the land of vegetation for cooking fires. Neighboring tribes procreate as fast or faster than you, so tribal wars and feuds occur regularly. Rivers become open sewers, life is nasty, brutish, and short.
Now imagine that a small sub-population exists within your population. The average IQ of this sub-population is 100. These "subs" build cities, hospitals, schools. They provide modern medical care and electricity. They provide clean water and sanitary disposal of wastes. They also occupy almost all of the important jobs in the advanced society they have created among you.
You outnumber them 10 to 1. You want what they have. What do you do?
Now imagine a society with an average IQ of about 100. It has electricity, modern medical care, clean water and sanitary treatment of wastes. It has universities, doctors, engineers, scientists. But it also has politicians that demand more and more control over people's lives every year. It has "experts" at the beck and call of powerful interests and politicians who provide public pronouncements over the news wires and air waves that substantiate the needs and demands of the powerful politicians and special interests. These politicians with the willing assistance of the "experts" are spending your society into ruin--just to maintain their power. Their policies are destroying your freedoms and your livelihood.
You outnumber them 10 to 1. What do you do?Imagine a society with an average IQ of 200. Each individual is trained to be competent in many different skills and areas of expertise. There is no permanent political class, or legal/judicial class. Every person is qualified to act as arbitrator or adjudicator of most simple disagreements.
The resource limitations that spark tribal wars in the "70 IQ range" and class warfare in the "90 to 100 IQ range" are not existent at higher levels of IQ. Resource limitations are largely a function of the incompetence that comes with low IQ, and low IQ methods of education.
Basic modern human services can be provided by societies with average IQs of 90 and above. If the average IQ is between 80 and 90, some services can be provided, but coverage will be very spotty. If the average IQ is below 80, without outside help, the situation is unsustainable in terms of modern technology.
Source for top image and tableWhat is "expertitis?" It is the overdependence of society on the opinions of hyper-specialised individuals whose conclusions and recommendations cannot be properly vetted for validity. We see such a phenomenon in climate science at this time. Climate modelers are given undue authority to speak for the entire broad field of climate science--and all scientists who dissent from the radical recommendations of the modelers are derogated as "deniers", dishonest, or otherwise demonised as unreliable. The dissenters are denied tenure, denied publication, denied research funding. As long as expertise is politically determined, and only the experts are listened to, society is being victimised by "expertitis." This is more likely to occur in a low-IQ society, but even in an average IQ society it can occur when most citizens have been educated in an inferior educational system--as in current government school systems.
Now imagine that a small sub-population exists within your population. The average IQ of this sub-population is 100. These "subs" build cities, hospitals, schools. They provide modern medical care and electricity. They provide clean water and sanitary disposal of wastes. They also occupy almost all of the important jobs in the advanced society they have created among you.
You outnumber them 10 to 1. You want what they have. What do you do?
Now imagine a society with an average IQ of about 100. It has electricity, modern medical care, clean water and sanitary treatment of wastes. It has universities, doctors, engineers, scientists. But it also has politicians that demand more and more control over people's lives every year. It has "experts" at the beck and call of powerful interests and politicians who provide public pronouncements over the news wires and air waves that substantiate the needs and demands of the powerful politicians and special interests. These politicians with the willing assistance of the "experts" are spending your society into ruin--just to maintain their power. Their policies are destroying your freedoms and your livelihood.
You outnumber them 10 to 1. What do you do?Imagine a society with an average IQ of 200. Each individual is trained to be competent in many different skills and areas of expertise. There is no permanent political class, or legal/judicial class. Every person is qualified to act as arbitrator or adjudicator of most simple disagreements.
The resource limitations that spark tribal wars in the "70 IQ range" and class warfare in the "90 to 100 IQ range" are not existent at higher levels of IQ. Resource limitations are largely a function of the incompetence that comes with low IQ, and low IQ methods of education.
Basic modern human services can be provided by societies with average IQs of 90 and above. If the average IQ is between 80 and 90, some services can be provided, but coverage will be very spotty. If the average IQ is below 80, without outside help, the situation is unsustainable in terms of modern technology.
Source for top image and tableWhat is "expertitis?" It is the overdependence of society on the opinions of hyper-specialised individuals whose conclusions and recommendations cannot be properly vetted for validity. We see such a phenomenon in climate science at this time. Climate modelers are given undue authority to speak for the entire broad field of climate science--and all scientists who dissent from the radical recommendations of the modelers are derogated as "deniers", dishonest, or otherwise demonised as unreliable. The dissenters are denied tenure, denied publication, denied research funding. As long as expertise is politically determined, and only the experts are listened to, society is being victimised by "expertitis." This is more likely to occur in a low-IQ society, but even in an average IQ society it can occur when most citizens have been educated in an inferior educational system--as in current government school systems.
Frequency | Options | |||
>1% below 30 | Illiterate | Unemployable. Institutionalized. | ||
>1% below 50 | 1st-Grade to 3rd-Grade | Simple, non-critical household chores. | ||
1.5% below 60 | 3rd-Grade to 6th-grade | Very simple tasks, close supervision. | ||
5% below 74 | 6th-Grade to 8th-Grade | "Slow, simple, supervised." | ||
25% below 89 | 8th-Grade to 12th-Grade | Assembler, food service, nurse's aide | ||
50% below 100 | 8th-Grade to 1-2 years of College. | Clerk, teller, Walmart | ||
100 to 111 | 1 in 2 above 100 | 12th-Grade to College Degree | Police officer, machinist, sales | |
111 to 120 | 1 in 4 above 111 | College to Master's Level | Manager, teacher, accountant | |
120 to 125 | 11 in 10above 120 | College to Non-Technical Ph. D.'s. | Manager, professor, accountant | |
125 to 132 | 1 in 20 above 125 | Any Ph. D. at 3rd-Tier Schools | Attorney, editor, executive. | |
132 to 137 | 1 in 50 above 132 | No limitations. | Eminent professor, editor | |
137 to 150 | 1 in 100 above 137 | No limitations. | Leading math, physics professor | |
150 to 160 | 1 in 1,100 above 150 | No limitations | Lincoln, Copernicus, Jefferson | |
160 to 174 | 1 in 11,000 above 160 | No limitations | Descartes, Einstein, Spinoza | |
174 to 200 | 1 in 1,000,000 above 174 | No limitations | Shakespeare, Goethe, Newton |
Labels: IQ
3 Comments:
I'm looking forward to getting gradually Moravec transfered in the process of having synthetic neurons added to my brain and having the original biological ones replaced by them in the course of a long time. I'm much more comfortable with that than being uploaded and disposed of while unconscious.
Experience tells us that if you have a high-IQ group within the larger population (and when did such not exist because of assortative mating and the benefits of boosting the social and technical intelligence of your offspring) that the high-IQ group rarely has the interests of the whole at heart.
It should also be clear that the only way to shift the overall IQ of the whole group in one direction or another involves preventing many people from having offspring or other messy interventions.
Moreover, when your wellbeing depends on bilking the rubes, surely you want there to be a continuing adequate supply so that your offspring have the same sort of opportunities as you have?
Markku: I agree that replacing short-lived neurons with longer-lived and better functioning neurons makes better sense than the mystical "uploading" scenario.
Richard: Yes. Normal variance is one thing. In the low-IQ society, some of the families may form dynasties as leaders, warrior chieftains, witch doctors, etc, and only inter-marry within the high caste.
But what I am referring to is a revolutionary break in the natural order. An average IQ of 100 is a revolutionary break from an average IQ of 70. Such a difference could have only occurred with two (or more) population groups evolving in relative isolation from each other. That is why outsiders are periodically driven out of the low IQ societies.
An average IQ of 200 would be an even greater revolutionary break from the 100 IQ average.
We can only imagine the consequences of such a radical break with conventional continuity.
Interventions will be necessary, as you say. How messy they turn out to be depends upon how smart we really are.
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“During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act” _George Orwell
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