18 November 2010

Who to Let In? Who to Keep Out?

Mean IQ Test Score by Race

If you were starting a new country or space colony, and wanted to populate it with people likely to be hard workers, capable of living together in harmony, and able to innovate to meet and overcome whatever challenges may come your way -- who would you choose?

What if you already had a country, but its underlying population makeup is changing quickly -- perhaps not for the better, in terms of national achievement, crime rates, and national optimism. What should you do in that situation?

A professor of demography at Oxford University in the UK, says that the UK population is changing quickly due to immigration -- and differential birthrates of immigrants vs. natives. Not all UK natives are happy with the changes. What should they do?
David Coleman, professor of demography at Oxford University, said they will make up less than HALF the population in just over 50 years.

And soaring immigrant birthrates mean white British kids will be in a minority of youngsters in the UK even sooner. The dramatic decline will be fuelled by record-breaking levels of immigration, coupled with the departure of thousands of Brits for a better life abroad, the population analyst said.

Prof Coleman's controversial claim will raise fresh questions about whether Britain can sustain the influx of hundreds of thousands of immigrants every year.

It comes as Home Secretary Theresa May today gets a report from the Migration Advisory Committee on what cap she should impose on migrant workers next year.

Writing in Prospect magazine, Prof Coleman warned the huge numbers of foreigners landing on our shores will "transform" the UK.

He said official projections estimate the UK's population will rocket to 77 million by 2051 - and 85 million by 2083.

The expert went on: "On those assumptions the 'white British' population would decline to 45 million (59 per cent of the total) by 2051.

"Were the assumptions to hold, the 'white British' population of Britain would become the minority after about 2066. It's a milestone that would be passed much earlier in younger age-groups."

He added: "The US, by comparison, is now about 65 per cent white (non-Hispanic) and that group is projected to fall to 50 per cent by 2045." _Source

Mean Indigenous IQ Test Score by Continent
As far as the US is concerned, strategists from one political party are hoping to achieve a non-white US voting majority as quickly as possible.
“When you get into a presidential electorate, it decidedly favors Democrats, and every year it’s going to decidedly favor them more and more,” Carville said. “Demographics don’t do anything but get better for Democrats. Every election becomes less white.” _Politico
This attitude helps to explain why the Obama administration together with the Pelosi Congress has been so eager to condemn Arizona's decision to enforce official US immigration policy. It is possible that a sane immigration policy might delay the ultimate objectives of the Obama Pelosi (soon to lose the "Pelosi" part) regime.

There is no question that Europeans (along with Ashkenazi Jews) and East Asians score highest on IQ tests compared to other ethnic groups. Going by that metric alone, anyone forming his own space colony or new terrestrial / oceanic country, would want to populate it with a high proportion of Europeans and / or East Asians. Any colony which is dependent upon an understanding of sophisticated technology for its very survival must be made up of a population with mean IQ scores well above 100.

Of course, the leftist intellectuals who dominate most university faculty / staff and most media corporations, tend to discount the importance of IQ test scores. Yet, those scientists who study the issue most intensely understand that the left is about 50 years behind times on this issue -- at least.
Some critics of intelligence research maintain that the notion of general intelligence is illusory: that no such global mental capacity exists and that apparent "intelligence" is really just a by-product of one's opportunities to learn skills and information valued in a particular cultural context. True, the concept of intelligence and the way in which individuals are ranked according to this criterion could be social artifacts. But the fact that g is not specific to any particular domain of knowledge or mental skill suggests that g is independent of cultural content, including beliefs about what intelligence is. And tests of different social groups reveal the same continuum of general intelligence. This observation suggests either that cultures do not construct g or that they construct the same g. Both conclusions undercut the social artifact theory of intelligence.

Moreover, research on the physiology and genetics of g has uncovered biological correlates of this psychological phenomenon. In the past decade, studies by teams of researchers in North America and Europe have linked several attributes of the brain to general intelligence. After taking into account gender and physical stature, brain size as determined by magnetic resonance imaging is moderately correlated with IQ (about 0.4 on a scale of 0 to 1). So is the speed of nerve conduction. The brains of bright people also use less energy during problem solving than do those of their less able peers. And various qualities of brain waves correlate strongly (about 0.5 to 0.7) with IQ: the brain waves of individuals with higher IQs, for example, respond more promptly and consistently to simple sensory stimuli such as audible clicks. These observations have led some investigators to posit that differences in g result from differences in the speed and efficiency of neural processing. If this theory is true, environmental conditions could influence g by modifying brain physiology in some manner. _SciAm
Other scientists are discovering more objective neural correlates of intelligence on brain scanning. Eventually, it will be possible to measure potential IQ of a person without the possibility of any cultural or language bias -- or "stereotype threat."

Citizens of the UK -- and of European nations in general -- should be very concerned about recent demographic trends. As Germany's Angela Merkel recently commented, multiculturalism is a failure. At least in Germany and most other European countries. Crime rates are rising, and most of the new prisoners are immigrants or second / third generation children of immigrants. Current European immigration policies are not working out well. Parts of Sweden are becoming rape and crime capitals, as immigrants gleefully collect their toll from the natives.

Canada, the US, and Australia have little to boast about in regards to wise immigration (on the basis of what the immigrant can contribute), either. Political correctness has burrowed so deeply into the bureaucracy of Europe and most of the Anglosphere that any rational sense of self preservation will be immediately cast as bigotry or racism. But perhaps it is time to stop worrying about what names one is called, and to begin being concerned about one's future and that of his descendants -- assuming there will be any.

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Blogger Max said...

I dunno if I d lump Canada into US,UK mix. Their immigration policies are much more liberal in some ways ( to get a canadian green card all you need is to be educated young person) yet bring high quality immigrants. Canada is a country of immigrants , but of white highly educated emmigrants with a healthy mix of asians


Xenophobe attitudes (such as Mangan's or OneSTDV) in US serve to no good - all you achieving is alienation of the most educated and intelligent immigrants (trough inane legal immigration process) and encouraging illegal immigration. Yes US will be mostly over half hispanic/black by 2050 .Canada will still be over 90% white

Friday, 19 November, 2010  
Blogger kurt9 said...

There is a difference. Al fin here is discussing immigration from a human capital standpoint. The others (OneSTV and the like) just want to keep America "white" regardless of human capital. In other words, Al fin has a point and the others are whinny complainers.

Saturday, 20 November, 2010  
Blogger al fin said...

Dennis Mangan and OneStdv have a great deal of content that has nothing to do with immigration. Both sites are well worth visiting regularly. That is why each has a spot on the Al Fin sidebar.

My commitment to the US has to do with its Constitution and its founding system -- once slavery was disposed of. As long as the US was true to its original intent, it was the preferred destination of most of the world's emigrants --> immigrants.

Under a regime of political correctness, faux egalitarianism, and anti-westernism, the US is losing its dynamism and its appeal.

Max, you may have missed an earlier Al Fin posting on the changing ethnic makeup of Canada.
Here it is.

Canada is already less than 90% European at this time. With Canadians of European descent achieving less than a 1.5 TFR, while muslim immigrants (while still small in number, many of them particularly militant) to Canada have TFRs well over 2, it is unlikely that your prediction for the 2050 demographic makeup of Canada will be proven correct.

Saturday, 20 November, 2010  
Blogger kurt9 said...

Dennis Mangan and OneStdv have a great deal of content that has nothing to do with immigration. Both sites are well worth visiting regularly.

This is true and I often read their blogs. However, one must realize that both bloggers, especially "OneSTDV" believe in objectives other than the creation of societies with the greatest human capital and the the greatest empowerment of the creative human mind. These biases tend to slant the objectivity of their writings.

Monday, 22 November, 2010  
Blogger al fin said...

I have had some small disagreements with both bloggers, but nothing to write home about.

Certainly everyone has biases, and when people get together, their biases will tend to clash.

Admittedly, I hate to see the cities of Europe and the Anglosphere changing, and the crime statistics climbing to reflect the growing forced multiculturalism. But nothing stays the same. If we can't bring about the kind of change we prefer, we have to learn to adapt, and prosper if we can.

As for maximising human capital and human creativity, it may take some time for such ideas to catch on broadly, in an honest and open manner. We do what we can.

Monday, 22 November, 2010  

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“During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act” _George Orwell

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