Prognosis for Nano-Biotech Advances

This fascinating pdf file presents the results of a survey of nano- and bio-technologists predicting the time to development and import of development of various advances in nano-biotech.

The survey results display a conservatism among prognosticators that is often observed whenever "experts" in a field are asked to anticipate time-to-discovery for new technologies. Personally, it seems that the predictions are off by at least 50% on the conservative side, for most technologies. It is particularly interesting to see the number of experts who predict that any given technology will "never" be developed. Realistically, the only way that any of these technologies will "never" be developed, is if a better technology is developed first, which obviates the need for that particular technology.

Hat tip to slashdot.