10 April 2010

Canada's Changing Ethnic Makeup

Canada Census
Canada is an important part of the Anglosphere. Rich in natural resources and human resources, Canada should have a strong 21st century to look forward to. But Canada's population is increasing slowly -- and mainly due to immigration. If not for immigration, Canada's population future would be as bleak as Japan's or Russia's.
Canada Census
Canada's visible minorities comprise less than 20% of the total population -- compared to the US where visible minorities comprise just over 40% of the total population.
Ethnic origin  % Population Largest reported ethnic identity
Canadian 32.22% &0000000010066290.00000010,066,290  Quebec ( 66.2% )
English 21.03% &0000000006570015.0000006,570,015  Newfoundland and Labrador ( 97.7% )
French 18.82% &0000000004941210.0000004,941,210  New Brunswick ( 32.6% )
Scottish 15.11% &0000000004719850.0000004,719,850  Nova Scotia ( 29.3% )
Irish 13.94% &0000000004354155.0000004,354,155  Nova Scotia ( 19.9% )
German 10.18% &0000000003179425.0000003,179,425  Saskatchewan ( 30.0% )
Italian 4.63% &0000000001445335.0000001,445,335  Ontario ( 7.0% )
Chinese 4.31% &0000000001346510.0000001,346,510  British Columbia ( 10.6% )
North American Indian 4.01% &0000000001253615.0000001,253,615  Nunavut ( 83.6% )
Ukrainian 3.87% &0000000001209085.0000001,209,085  Alberta ( 10.2% )
Dutch (Netherlands) 3.31% &0000000001035965.0000001,035,965  British Columbia ( 5.3% )
Polish 3.15% &0000000000984565.000000984,565
Indian 3.08% &0000000000962665.000000962,665  British Columbia ( 6.4%)
Russian 1.60% &0000000000500600.000000500,600  British Columbia ( 4.2%)
Welsh 1.41% &0000000000440965.000000440,965
Filipino 1.40% &0000000000436190.000000436,190
Norwegian 1.38% &0000000000432515.000000432,515
Portuguese 1.32% &0000000000410850.000000410,850
Métis 1.31% &0000000000409065.000000409,065
Swedish 1.07% &0000000000334765.000000334,765
Latin American 1.04% &0000000000315510.000000315,510  British Columbia (3.2%)
Hungarian 1.01% &0000000000315510.000000315,510  Ontario
Jewish 1.01% &Expression error: Unrecognised punctuation character ","Expression error: Unrecognised punctuation character ","Expression error: Unrecognised punctuation character ","Expression error: Unrecognised punctuation character ","Expression error: Unrecognised punctuation character ","Expression error: Unrecognised punctuation character ","Expression error: Unrecognised punctuation character ","Expression error: Unrecognised punctuation character ","Expression error: Unrecognised punctuation character ","Expression error: Unrecognised punctuation character ","Expression error: Unrecognised punctuation character ","Expression error: Unrecognised punctuation character ","Expression error: Unrecognised punctuation character ","Expression error: Unrecognised punctuation character ","Expression error: Unrecognised punctuation character ","Expression error: Unrecognised punctuation character ",".Expression error: Unrecognised punctuation character ","315,510 Template:Country data Bathurst St., Toronto


Year 1996 1996% 2001 2001% 2006 2006%
South Asian 670,590 2.35% 917,070 3.09% 1,233,275 4.00%
Chinese 860,150 3.02% 1,029,395 3.47% 1,168,485 3.70%
Black 573,860 2.01% 662,215 2.23% 783,795 2.50%
Filipino 234,195 0.82% 308,575 1.04% 389,550 1.30%
Latin American 176,970 0.62% 304,245 1.00%
Arab 265,550 0.90%
Southeast Asian 172,765 0.61% 231,425 0.70%
West Asian 156,700 0.50%
Korean 64,835 0.23% 138,425 0.40%
Japanese 68,135 0.24% 60,415 0.20%
Multiple visible minorities 61,575 0.22% 104,215 0.30%
Visible minority, n.i.e. 69,745 0.24% 71,420 0.20%
Total visible minority population 3,197,480 11.21% 3,983,845 13.44% 5,068,095 16.20%
Non-Visible Minority Population 25,330,645 88.79% 25,655,185 86.56% 26,172,935 83.78%
Total Population 28,528,125 100.00% 29,639,030 100.00% 31,241,030 100.00%


The makeup of Canadian visible minorities is distinctly different from that of the US. Most of Canadian visible minority populations come from Asia -- East and South Asia, primarily, with a growing number of Southeast Asians, including Filipinos. Blacks are only 2.5% of the population and Latinos are only 1% of the Canadian population. Canadian native americans make up almost 4% of the population.

The total fertility rate of Canada has declined to around 1.5, well under replacement rate of 2.1 children per woman. As you can see below, Canada, Europe, and Japan have comparable low TFRs.

The conclusion: Canada needs immigrants to avoid a Japan-style population implosion. Canada is unlikely to feel as much of the negative effects of immigration as the US or Europe for at least 2 reasons:

1. Canada is starting with a base of greater than 80% non-minority population.
2. More of Canada's immigrants are coming from East Asia and South Asia, where crime rates are lower than in Mexico and Africa -- two large sources of immigrants to the US and Europe, respectively.
It is hoped that more Canadian immigrants will find a way to assimilate successfully into Canadian society than European immigrants typically have done.

If not for the cold winters in Canada, it would probably see much higher rates of immigration. Even so, Canada is a much stronger immigration draw than Russia, which has comparable winters.

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Blogger Unknown said...

Well here in Australia we are at 2.1% population growth and are looking at hitting 35 million by the 2030s Currently we are growing at around 500,000 a year, birth rate and immigration combined.

We have similiar issues to you in the mix of people migrating here. I dont mind where they come from as long as they are able to assimilate.

The issue for Canada will be if the cooling PDO sets in and deepens how will Canada respond to loss of habitable and food growing areas as well as shortened growing seasons.

Sunday, 11 April, 2010  
Blogger al fin said...

Canada can trade oil, minerals, and timber for all the food it wants from the US and elsewhere. They can also adapt indoor aeroponics and hydroponics technologies -- but they may have to go back to Candu nuclear technology to power and heat it all.

If glaciation sets in, a lot of most northerly settlements will be abandoned.

Sunday, 11 April, 2010  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I don't know how the Chinese vote in Canada, but most of the Chinese here in the US vote for the Democratic party. Letting in immigrants to replace the aborted children of White Canadians might seem like a good idea, but if these immigrants then go on to accelerate the mad rush to socialism then it will just doom Canada faster.

Immigrants need to meet two criteria to be acceptable to a modern society. First, the immigrants have to come from high IQ stock so that when their descendants regress to their groups mean IQ these descendants don't become a burden on society. Second, these replacement immigrants need to have a general outlook that cherishes liberty without any hatred of the West.

As far as I know Koreans are the only major group in East Asia that meets both requirements.

Sunday, 11 April, 2010  
Blogger ee_ga said...

The Japanese meet the high IQ freedom loving, low tax wanting group as well. I don't know how the Vietnamese vote, but they love Americans, money, and own their own businesses.

Monday, 12 April, 2010  
Blogger Host Blogger said...

Canada does not need mass immigration. Average immigrant age in Canada is 43. Immigrants have high integration costs, higher unemployment, underemployment, higher welfare, higher medical costs, etc. They are a net drain. Canada does not get many successful business types as immigrants. If you are successful and 40, most of your professional links are in your home country. Difficult to move and keep all of that. Canada has a provincial economy, with few multinational companies. The country is creating large, segregated lower income areas of immigrants. Immigration is no longer working. Maybe if the average age was 24 it might work, i.e. accepting university graduates - preferably ones that attended top international uni's.

Monday, 12 April, 2010  
Blogger al fin said...

Host Blogger: Interesting point about the average age of immigrants. That information was not included in the data I retrieved. I can see how it would make a difference.

If the average age of female immigrants were past 40, it would suggest that new immigrants would have very few children.

Some areas around Toronto have become overburdened in the manner you describe.

Monday, 12 April, 2010  
Blogger Unknown said...

Here once you are over 40 your chances of migrating unless you have family here are slim. The labor government here has lost its traditional voter base and so immigration brings in people who will keep it in power

Monday, 12 April, 2010  

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