08 May 2008

Climate Models Fail To Match Climate Reality

Thousands of people have built their reputations and futures on the bet that Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming (CAGW) would drive Earth's climate for the foreseeable future. Doom for Earth meant solid gold for them and their careers. But lately, the climate picture has not been looking like doom for Earth at all. In fact, the better information we get about the climate (Argos, Jason, etc etc), the less reliable the models of anthropogenic climate doom appear.

First, climate predictions of warming across Antarctica have failed miserably. Next, temperature trends across the North Atlantic have failed to produce any "human fingerprint" on the climate of the past 150 years. Then, more and more distinguished scientists are braving the climate inquisition to point out that uncertainties in climate modeling make predictions beyond 5 years completely meaningless. Even the very basic underpinnings of NASA and IPCC climate models have come under question.

As the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation both appear to be shifting into cool phase, Earth's temperatures as measured by satellite appear to have taken an abrupt downward plunge.

All of these phenomena are inexplicable to climate models and climate modellers. Over at realclimate.org, the bureaucrats are reduced to bluff and bluster, threat and bullying. Now that their predictions have jumped the shark, and their funding for next year's season is appearing less and less certain, they can only hope that the US elects a particularly stupid president in November, who will join with the EU in enacting suicidal carbon cap legislation.

Because once the legislation is passed and signed, and the fix is in, it will be too late even for Jupiter and Neptune to stop the lemming's march downward.

H/T Tom Nelson, Green Watch

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Blogger Billy Oblivion said...

Given that the choices are McCain, Obama and Clinton, the chance of a truly stupid president (at least in this area) approaches unity.

Thursday, 08 May, 2008  
Blogger al fin said...

Well, they are all career politicians, and two out of three are attorneys. The chances of finding genuine real world competence among them are vanishingly small.

As you say, given their public pronouncements, the chances of wise action on climate are much smaller.

Friday, 09 May, 2008  

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“During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act” _George Orwell

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