09 August 2007

Hottest Year On Record? 1934!!! Climate Warrior James Hansen Falls for Bad Data--Public Deceived by Y2K Error at NASA

That's right! The warmest US year on record is 1934, next is 1998, next is 1921 . . .
These graphs were created by NASA's Reto Ruedy and James Hansen (who shot to fame when he accused the administration of trying to censor his views on climate change). Hansen refused to provide McKintyre with the algorithm used to generate graph data, so McKintyre reverse-engineered it. The result appeared to be a Y2K bug in the handling of the raw data.

McKintyre notified the pair of the bug; Ruedy replied and acknowledged the problem as an "oversight" that would be fixed in the next data refresh.

NASA has now silently released corrected figures, and the changes are truly astounding. The warmest year on record is now 1934. 1998 (long trumpeted by the media as record-breaking) moves to second place. 1921 takes third. In fact, 5 of the 10 warmest years on record now all occur before World War II. Anthony Watts has put the new data in chart form, along with a more detailed summary of the events.

Notice that James Hansen--celebrated by the climate orthodoxy for his courage and integrity--fought tooth and nail to prevent his data from getting into the hands of anyone who might contradict his climate apocalyptics.

If the US data is problematic--with poor weather station siting, software errors, etc.--then data outside the US is ten times worse. Pity the overconfident climate modelers, who bravely stick their necks out, unaware of the bad data they are using. Garbage in, garbage out.

While the climate orthodoxy wants to prematurely halt scientific debate about the underlying mechanisms of climate and climate change, the public is fortunate that many scientists and data analysis professionals are not willing to let political and quasi-religious groups control the debate completely. Where do you stand?

More fascinating perspective here.

And here.

Update 10 August: Climateaudit.org has been knocked off the net by DOS attacks. An interesting way to cut off debate, nicht wahr? Surfacestations.org is also off the net, but information about the cause of that malfunction is not available yet.

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Blogger IConrad said...

Dugg and cross-posted (en brevis) on my site.

Friday, 10 August, 2007  
Blogger AntiCitizenOne said...

> Garbage in, garbage out.

nope. It's near perfect in, garbage out.

Remember climate models are recursive (x1=f[x0]) and have multiple interrelated variables (and thus chaotic)

so what happens is a process called exponential error, whereby error swamps any accurate values as more and more recursion continues.

Friday, 10 August, 2007  

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“During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act” _George Orwell

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