Why are the Oceans Cooling? Climate Scientists Do Not Know

Someone forgot to tell the computer modelers who are practising climatology that "the map is not the territory," or more specifically: "the computer model is not the climate."

For most of the new millenium, the oceans' temperatures have been cooling, rather than warming. This is difficult for many climate modelers who have firmly held beliefs in global warming, to explain. Climate models, GCMs, do not explain this "anomaly", or departure from the computer models. Believers in global warming are at a loss to explain this finding, but they nonetheless hastily reassure their acolytes that all is well and that this significant finding is actually just "temporary", and easily dismissed.

This paper suggests that there is a natural cycle of warming and cooling of ocean surface temperatures that so far the climate models have been unable to replicate. This raises serious questions about the GCMs' ability to predict multi-decadal climate trends. Government planners need to be aware of the many failings of climate models before "betting the farm" on something that is less than scientific.

Renewable forms of energy are better, not because of anthropogenic climate forcing, but because they produce less pollution, less environmental risk in terms of oil spills and mining damage, and are more sustainably integrated into the human economy.

There is far too much about the genuine complexity of long term climate cycles that is unknown. Computer programmers who call themselves climatologists cannot simply ignore this complexity in order to match their models with preconceived expectations. The real climate may just slip up behind them and give them a freezing bite.