31 May 2009

How To Escape a Burning Skyscraper

Image Source
For $1500 you can soon buy this device, which will allow you to zoom down the side of a 100 story building in perfect safety. High rise safety is anything but guaranteed, and anything that may add to your survival safety margin is worth considering.
Based on the concept of a fishing reel, the device is a simple harness to lower people to the ground, letting the individual plan his own escape, unless he is buckled in the pressure. The user is expected to open a small container, which is to be hooked to some steady anchor, on support of which the user can slip into a one size fits all harness, automatically controlled centrifugal braking to manage the descent.

The device along with the automatic braking system that takes less than four minutes to climb down a 100 story building also has a manual backup brake lever, in case the automatic system fails. California’s Vallejo Fire Department has conducted successful tests of the device, and now Stone is planning to market the Rescue Reel, which will be ready to buy at about $1,500. _Gizmowatch_via_ImpactLab

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Will You Be Punked by Political Peak Oil?

Update2: This UPI piece discusses the likely demand destruction on the overall economy caused by the current premature raising of oil and gasoline prices. This is not a good time for the strong-arm price manipulators of politicians, big international speculators, and oil dictators to be pushing oil prices beyond market factors.
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Update: Commenter James objects that the chart above should not be taken as too ominous a sign of future economic woes. This analysis from Global Economic Trend Analysis appears to support James' rather relaxed attitude toward the ARM reset schedule. I recommend a reading of the links under both images of this post, top and bottom. Unfortunately, ARM resets may turn out to be the least of our problems.

It is the prematurity of all the recovery talk that makes recent oil price jumps appear so clearly manipulated -- at least in large part. It is true that recent low oil prices have led to production slowdowns in existing fields and delayed exploration and development of new fields. In addition, political peak oil -- the suppression of fossil fuel exploration, discovery, recovery, and refining instituted by the Brocko Bomba administration in conjunction with the Nancy Pelosi congress in the name of carbon hysteria -- is another part of the problem. Political discord in Nigeria and the middle east is another. And of course, OPEC countries plus Russia are collaborating to prop up the world market price of oil via production caps. Lastly, big international commodity speculators are pouring their assets into oil as a hedge against a predicted US fiscal catastrophe under this inexperienced administration and incompetent congress.
Storage tankers across the globe may be brimming with oil that no one is buying because of the global economic downturn, but the traditional laws of supply and demand don't always apply to oil prices. Drivers have faced rising prices at the gas pump in recent months, as investors and oil-producing countries hoard supplies in anticipation of a global economic recovery later this year.

The 12 member countries of the OPEC cartel voted in Vienna on Thursday to maintain output at current levels rather than increase supplies in order to bring some relief to consumers, particularly in the gas-guzzling West. The OPEC oil ministers, whose countries account for about 40% of the world's entire crude-oil supply, also renewed their commitment to stick to their agreed quotas, rather than ship extra oil, as they began doing last April when several members ignored their agreed output limits. OPEC leaders, many of whose economies are heavily dependent on oil exports, have struggled to stabilize prices at a level that suits their own economic needs amid falling demand and rising supplies. Prices had rocketed to a record level of $147 a barrel last July before plummeting to $30 just five months later and beginning a new climb. (See pictures of South Africa's oil-from-coal refinery.)

Oil analysts believe OPEC's decisions on Thursday could help push oil prices even higher; oil futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange have risen 36% in just two months, to about $63.46 a barrel on Thursday. And that appears to be on track to achieve targets set by OPEC leaders. Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi - OPEC's key power player - said Wednesday that oil prices ought to rise to between $75 and $80 a barrel by the end of the year. "Demand is picking up, especially in Asia," he told reporters puffing alongside him as he jogged through the streets of Vienna. "The price rise is a function of optimism that better things are coming in the future." _Time
It all depends upon an economic recovery that is running on fumes, and due to hit some very large obstacles in the near future. Some very smart analysts and speculators are betting on oil going up near $100 a barrel toward the end of 2009. But we are still in the earliest, rosiest, most honey-moonish stages of the Bomba presidency. All of Brocko's moves up to now have been clownish and inept -- to informed observers (not to the media of course).

Considering all the conflicting forces in play, higher oil and gasoline prices through the summer appear likely. But as the demand destruction from price manipulation plus political peak oil begins to choke off economic activity and demand for fuels and commodities -- once again -- the nascent "recovery" is apt to die soon after childbirth. Choked by not-so-loving step parents and state guardians. Shortly afterward, the next round of financial collapses should hit.

The global economy is in ICU, and global speculators + OPEC and friends, with the friendly cooperation of western governments, are trying to squeeze the near-corpse for everything it can give. Not very smart.
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H/T Survival Blog

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ABC: Addiction Behaviour Complex -- Solved?

The term "addiction" is used in many contexts to describe an obsession, compulsion, or excessive psychological dependence, such as: drug addiction (e.g. alcoholism), video game addiction, crime, money, work addiction, compulsive overeating, problem gambling, computer addiction,nicotine addiction, pornography addiction, plastic surgery addiction, etc. _Wikipedia
The addiction behaviour complex (ABC) manifested by addicts does not depend upon the object of addiction. In fact, scientists at the University of Toronto and Brigham Young University have discovered that addiction behaviour needs no "object of addiction" to take place! Addictions of all types turn humans into zombies and destroy the economies of homes and communities. What if mind science and medicine could bypass the specific addiction, and eliminate the underlying ABC itself? First we have to understand the ABC.
The Toronto team noted that a single injection of BDNF made rats behave as though they were dependent on opiates (which they had never received). Though rats instinctively prefer certain smells, lighting and texture, these rats left their comfort zone in search of a fix.

"This work may reveal a mechanism that underlies drug addiction," said lead author Hector Vargas-Perez, a neurobiologist at the University of Toronto.

The BYU team confirmed that the protein is a critical regulator of drug dependency. After the BDNF injection, specific chemicals that normally inhibit neurons in this part of the brain instead excited them, a "switch" known to occur when people become dependent on drugs.

Steffensen, who teaches in BYU's psychology department, says this work suggests that BDNF is crucial for inducing a drug dependent state, one important aspect of drug addiction. _SD
Now that neuroscientists possess the tools to better understand the mechanisms of addiction, the possibility of mitigating or even eliminating ABC -- all destructive addiction behaviours -- seems very real. In fact, the obsessions and compulsions of common addictions have clear parallels in a large number of dysfunctional behaviours. What we are talking about is getting at the core of counter-productive obsessions and compulsions -- removing the bad drivers of addictive behaviours of all types.

The cost of addiction is high, and is paid by all members of society at every age:
People of all ages suffer the harmful consequences of drug abuse and addiction.

* Babies exposed to legal and illegal drugs in the womb may be born premature and underweight. This drug exposure can slow the child's intellectual development and affect behavior later in life.6
* Adolescents who abuse drugs often act out, do poorly academically, and drop out of school. They are at risk of unplanned pregnancies, violence, and infectious diseases.
* Adults who abuse drugs often have problems thinking clearly, remembering, and paying attention. They often develop poor social behaviors as a result of their drug abuse, and their work performance and personal relationships suffer.
* Parents' drug abuse often means chaotic, stress-filled homes and child abuse and neglect. Such conditions harm the well-being and development of children in the home and may set the stage for drug abuse in the next generation. _DrugAbuse.gov
The other side of the coin is that many people benefit from the myriad self-destructive compulsive behaviours that people exhibit. Drug lords, politicians, the prison industry, drug enforcement agencies, the mental health industry, government lotteries, casinos, the entertainment and news medias, and many other common fixtures of daily life and quasi-criminality too numerous to delineate.

Of course if you understand the heart of addiction, you can not only "cure" addictive behaviours, you can also reinforce them and condition them around particular environmental stimuli. In other words, not only can you turn zombies back into normal people -- you will also be able to turn normal people into zombies with great skill. It is the dilemma of knowledge, played out on yet another stage.

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Life Under Obamacabre: Take What You Can Get

Whether termed "Obamacare" or "Obamacabre", no-choice medical care is apt to turn into something quite monstrous in the US under this president and this congress. When Americans are told they have no choice about something, they tend to rebel. How will they react when the macabre reality of Obama's grand plan for America really sets in? Obamacabre is just the middle of the beginning.
...any even remotely aware consumer of health care services has got to realize that the Democrats are on the verge of a massive destruction of the American medicine delivery system. There are problems in health insurance cost and coverage, but not in the quality of care and the innovation instinct, and the Democrats are going to kill the latter in the fruitless quest for improvements to the former. The "government option" is the biggest threat of all, a thinly digusied lurch to Canada-style single payor with the hidden (and increasingly not-so-hidden) rationing and lousy care that canada provides its people with complex diseases and conditions. _HughHewitt
The US is far more diverse than any of the European and quasi-European countries where universal single-payor medical care has been instituted. Americans are already deeply in debt to Medicare -- "the other single payor medical care." Now Obama promises to "fix Medicare" by expanding the failure to include every American? Good luck with that.

Wouldn't it be ironic if the only way to opt out of Obamacabre were to become a government worker? Government worker pensions allow government workers to bypass the social security system. Government worker health care plans can allow gov workers to bypass Obamacabre.

Of course if you are one of the hundreds of millions of Americans in thrall to the government-media-academia-union-trial lawyer-faux environmentalist complex, you will be saying "there is no problem here."

But if you are one of the dwindling numbers of thinking, well-educated Americans who sees Obamacabre as only one of the monsters being spawned by the nest of the incompetencies currently ensconced along the Potomac River, you may begin to consider the John Galt approach to reforming an untamed government. Or you may consider this.

Apparently the "Tea Party" movement forgot to surrender to government and media scorn, and grassroots individuals continue to protest a regime that is growing into a monstrous reich. July 4, 2009 is apt to be an interesting date in that regard.

Government workers, union bosses, faux environmentalists, community activists, and media flacks are quite happy with what the Obamanation is becoming. But small business owners and other members of the productive class who depend upon a wise and impartial government to take a mostly "hands-off" to the daily workings of a real life economy, are beginning to see storm clouds gathering.

Divisions are deep and growing deeper. When a nation's productive classes are the losers in such a quasi-"civil war", the entire nation loses. The parasites win. If anyone truly believes that Obamacabre, or Obamacare, or any other type of no-choice medical care is going to solve that problem, they deserve their fate.

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30 May 2009

Growing New Brain Cells Using Deep Brain Stim

Deep brain electrode stimulation can lead to a doubling of production of new brain neurons in mice. Such therapies will likely be used in humans for persons suffering from brain injury and degenerative disease. Later, it will be used in order to boost performance for persons with particularly demanding jobs.
During the study, the researcher placed electrodes inside the rodent's limbic system, a formation inside the brain, and stimulated it with low-intensity current for about an hour. Knowing that the average mouse brain produces a few thousands of new neurons each day, Stone waited for the results of the stimulation. Three to five days after the procedure was completed, he noticed that the animals' brains were producing twice or more the number of neurons they usually generate, Nature News reports.

The finds were presented on May 25, at the annual meeting of the Canadian Association for Neuroscience, in Vancouver by Paul Frankland, one of Stone's supervisors, based at the Hospital for Sick Children, in Toronto.

After the electro-stimulation therapy, they injected the mice with iododeoxyuridine, a substance that allows experts to analyze which neurons are active, and which are not. After training the animals to a simple task, Stone looked at their brains, searching for a protein called Fos. This protein is associated with learning, and takes only 90 minutes to form. He learned that the Fos levels in both natural and artificially-produced neurons were the same. “These new neurons aren't just sitting around doing nothing,” he concluded. _Softpedia
Images of "wireheads" walking around in an electric haze will colour many persons' opinion of this phenomenon a certain shade of bilirubin. But electrical stimulation apparently works through normal pathways of gene expression, like other environmental cues such as drugs, hormones, and calorie restriction.

More brain cells do not automatically make a brain smarter. But more brain cells in the right place, organised properly, certainly will. If it is too late to program a person's genes to make him smarter, who will deny him the opportunity to utilise other means to that end? We will have to find many ways of boot-strapping ourselves to the next level.

The next level is not just about living 500 vital years with an IQ of 200 or more. It is about having the wisdom and competence to make the most of that time and mental capacity. Just a small number of next levels working in small labs and workshops scattered around the globe, would be enough to cancel most of the harmful effects of the Obamas, the Putins, the Kims, and the Ahmedinejads of the world. Without such an injection of wise competence over time, humans are apt to bury themselves.

The smart-wise machine fantasy of singularitarians is no substitute for extending human potential.

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29 May 2009

100 mpg Spira With a Body Made of Foam

The three-wheeled 2 seater pictured here has a body made of foam. It only weights 300 pounds, and goes 100 miles on a gallon of gasoline. Its engine is only 110 ccs, but for city commutes it should get a person or two to a destination safely for little expense.
The Spira has been developed by its inventor Lon Ballard, largely around the properties of reinforced foam. Apart from the engine, wheels and lightweight aluminium frame, about 90 percent of the Spira's body is made from 6-inch thick foam, which can itself be made from renewable sources, like soybeans. The layers of foam are reinforced with fiberglass strips for extra strength.

The foam is so light that the entire weight of the Spira has been kept down to 302lb ( 137kg). For that you get a fully enclosed two-seater, with a 110cc scooter engine and three wheels, that will do 70mph comfortably on the freeway. The millions of air cells in the foam act as tiny airbags in a collision, giving both the occupants, and whatever they've crashed into, a good degree of protection.

The pointed front-end of the Spira is chosen for its aerodynamics and safety, although we're not sure how much we agree with the philosophy that "in a crash it is best to deflect and roll as in Judo", particularly when you're rolling on a crowded, chaotic Thai freeway. Still, crash testing is high on the priority list for the manufacturer.

If the thought of getting around in Thailand's humid heat in a fully enclosed vessel worries you, and the small slit of window you can open doesn't convince you, the entire roof of the Spira can be taken off to make it a sort of convertible. But then, you've got to leave the top at home - and you'd better have a strong noggin, because there's no roll bar on the prototype to support the "Judo roll" front-impact philosophy. Best to get something in place for that, I reckon.

A further unexpected benefit of a lightweight foam body is buoyancy. The Spira will happily float - which is great for all those occasions when your car ploughs into the water. It's not truly amphibious because there's no water drive system and the road-going componentry wouldn't be too fond of the drink in the long run - but still, I guess you could pack some oars, and there's no reason why a fully amphibious version can't be built sometime down the track. _Gizmag
Spira's makers should consider building a water-propulsion system, given that the vehicle should float so well.

As nanotechnology and materials science provide more advanced materials, engineers should feel more free to take their designs to the limit of what the new materials can do.

In an Obama depression, the temptation is to lie low and hope you have a job when the destruction finally ends. Perhaps a bit of daring is called for instead.

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Too Late for Oil to Save Russia -- at Any Price

Putin’s Kremlin made a fateful bet that natural resources—oil, gas, and other extractive saleable commodities—would be the springboard for the restoration of Moscow’s influence as a great power on the world stage. In this gamble, Russian authorities have mainly ignored the nation’s human resource crisis. During the boom years—Russia’s per capita income roughly doubled between 1998 and 2007—the country’s death rate barely budged. Very much worse may lie ahead. How Russia’s still-unfolding demographic disaster will affect the country’s domestic political situation—and its international security posture—are questions that remain to be answered. _WAJ
Expert opinions are split on the near and medium term future of oil prices. Jim Rogers predicts high oil prices soon and for the indefinite future. Many analysts see steady drops in oil production due to low prices erasing the widespread oversupply in oil stockpiles. Since it can take years for many oil producers to gear back up to higher production, such a trend suggests a period of extended oil under-supply -- and higher prices -- in the not so distant future.

Russia is hoping that oil prices do indeed jump above $100 a barrel, and stay there! But is it too late for Russia, regardless of oil and commodities prices? Certainly Russia has no hope if the world economy remains stuck in the doldrums.
Russia has lost more than 12m people since depopulation started in 1992. This trend currently shows no signs of slowing down, and Russia will continue to lose people – the only question is: how quickly? An expert at the Russian Academy of Sciences Anatoly Vishnevsky painted an even gloomier picture, predicting a population of 98m for Russia in 2050....

....Even more troubling is that the number of able-bodied adults is declining faster than any other demographic category. This group is expected to absorb the bulk of the losses, declining by 14m by 2025. According to the RBC daily, in 16 years every 1,000 employed Russians are going to be providing for some 800 dependents...

...Education and careers are the priorities now, and starting a family is often on the backburner, for women as much as for men. Various proposals have been championed to combat people’s unwillingness to have more children. _Telegraph
But Russia has been burning the candle on both ends -- fewer births, more deaths. HIV, Tuberculosis, alcoholism (an often fatal disease), suicide, homicide -- these are modern Russia's epidemics.

Corruption in Russia's government is so bad that unless a person has connections to state power, their future prospects are not favourable. During the oil boom of 2007 and 2008, there was enough wealth flowing through Russia's economy to paint a patina of glitz over the drunken rot beneath. With the crash in commodities and the global economic downturn, Russia has suffered inordinately due to government corruption and its overreliance on a nationalised energy industry.

So Russia's only hope is to be able to stick it to the rest of the world via high energy prices. But is it too late for Russia, no matter how high the price of fossil fuels go?

Yes, it is too late. Prosperity from another boom in oil prices will accrue to the top of the government power pyramid first of all. From there, it will slowly flow downward in a very uneven course. Foreign investment will be slower in coming than in past years, due to the Russian government's kleptocratic tendency to nationalise anything it wishes.

Most Russians -- particularly those in the endangered zones far away from Moscow and St. Petersburg -- will see little improvement in personal circumstances, due to corrupt concentrations of power, profits, and resources. They will continue to die early, and neglect to reproduce. Fertile Russian women will continue to flock overseas as mail and internet brides. They will have their babies in what used to be termed "the free world", to non-Russian fathers.

The western world is helping Russia's corrupt kleptocracy continue to rape and exterminate its own people via its carbon hysteria quasi-religion -- which leads to political peak oil and artificially inflated oil prices. For that, you can thank Brock O'Bomba and his merry gang of green apocalyptics.

Russia has never had the benefit of an enlightened government. Its people have always been "slavs" to their leaders. America does not have such an excuse of a dozen generations of slavic mind programming. Russians were dragged downward over the many centuries until fatalism and passive nihilism became a part of the innate psychology. Americans made a conscious choice to go down the irrational path.

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28 May 2009

Better Zombies Through Sound Science

Scientists at the University of Illinois have taken science one step closer to the ability to control human minds remotely -- in this case using highly focused ultrasound.
Theorists have been working on materials that bend sound waves backward for several years. Such a metamaterial has now been built by Nicholas Fang, an assistant professor of mechanical science and engineering at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. His group's sound-focusing device is an aluminum array of narrow-necked resonant cavities whose dimensions are tuned to interact with ultrasound waves. The cavities are filled with water. Fang likens them to an array of wind instruments, such as the pipes in an organ. When ultrasound waves move through the array, the cavities resonate so that the sound is focused. The cavities "work together to refract the sound," says Fang. _TechnologyReview
Arizona State University scientists had previously demonstrated the ability to penetrate the skull using pulses of ultrasound capable of affecting brain activity.
One prior stumbling block to using ultrasound noninvasively in the brain has been the skull. However, the acoustic frequencies utilized by Tyler and his colleagues to construct their pulsed ultrasound waveforms, overlap with a frequency range where optimal energy gains are achieved between transcranial transmission and brain absorption of ultrasound – which allows the ultrasound to penetrate bone and yet prevent damage to the soft tissues. Their findings are supported by other studies examining the potential of high-intensity focused ultrasound for ablating brain tissues, where it was shown that low-frequency ultrasound could be focused through human skulls. _ASU
Combining the earlier findings with more powerful ultrasound lenses will allow scientists to achieve more focused penetration of the skull from greater distances -- to more precise effect.

Brain stimulation can both increase and decrease the neural activity of the targeted brain areas. A complex target pattern simultaneously utilising excitatory and inhibitory stimuli could theoretically lead a previously mapped brain into a somnambulatory or "waking dream" state. From that point, it should be but a short distance to the creation of a programmed mind, or zombie.

The holy grail of kings, priests, and con-men throughout history has been the ability to control the minds of the masses. Modern media tools have helped demagogues and grifters to project their charisma into susceptible souls, but that is not genuine mind-control. Only willing fish are enmeshed in the feeble nets of mainstream electronic media. With a tool capable of influencing minds unaware, the demagogue can now move into full-fledged mental entrapment of the unwilling.

Sheer speculation? Certainly. But then, speculation is how the mind stays ahead of other minds that may not have our best interests at heart.
When asked about the potential of using his groups’ methods to remotely control brain activity, Tyler says: “One might be able to envision potential applications ranging from medical interventions to use in video gaming or the creation of artificial memories along the lines of Arnold Schwarzenegger’s character in ‘Total Recall.’ Imagine taking a vacation without actually going anywhere? ASU
If the mind can imagine something, and conceive of a feasible pathway to achieve it, it will be done as long as the will and the means are provided -- given time.

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27 May 2009

Morality Goes Far Deeper than Religion

Prof Marc Bekoff, an ecologist at University of Colorado, Boulder, believes that morals are "hard-wired" into the brains of all mammals and provide the "social glue" that allow often aggressive and competitive animals to live together in groups.

He has compiled evidence from around the world that shows how different species of animals appear to have an innate sense of fairness, display empathy and help other animals that are in distress.
Before humans invented religion, they experimented with a wide range of ethical systems. Based upon a dizzying mix of inner instincts and perceived influences from the outer world, each generation taught the next one how they should live and treat other people (the members of the extended family who alone were considered to be human) and live in the natural world.

Religions evolved for many reasons, one of which was to assist in the development of an inner morality and system of ethics within each group member. Another purpose of religion has been to provide a sense of "awe and transcendence", the idea of something greater than oneself which can assist one in overcoming personal obstacles. Religions have become so instrumental in these roles, that even in the modern age of science it has proven difficult to dispense with them.

Religion is often a considerable obstacle to over-ambitious governments. The CCP in China persecutes its Falun Gong and Tibetan religionists because these believers hold to a transcendant view of life that goes beyond secular authority. Religious believers are also likely to have a good recall of the many misdeeds of the secular government -- which is something Chinese leaders wish to stamp out.

The totalitarian state seeks to integrate the uses of religion within the state itself. Hitler's Nazi totalitarianism rested upon the cult of personality. Kim's North Korean totalitarianism does the same, as did Fidel Castro's total state. Hugo Chavez and the other baby dictators of South and Central America would like to achieve the same ends. Such personality cults are actually "pocket religions" in their own "rite." Something similar might occur again in the west -- perhaps even in the US? Imagine an Ameircan "Big Brother" and Ministry of Truth kept constantly busy obscuring reality and modifying history. The only morality is the morality of the state. Can you picture it?

In the Muslim world, Islamists want to integrate the secular and the religious into a totalitarian unity. Such a unity could not tolerate competitors in the intellectual, spiritual, political, or economic / military worlds. Religion becomes the death of morality under such a regime. Any threats to the totality would be eliminated.

The majority of the world, in terms of population, is set to devolve into a broadly anarchic "warlordism" and gangsterism such as one sees across Africa and parts of Central Asia (and the inner cities of the western world). The dominant ethics under such gangster systems derives from the power to deprive members of health, sustenance, and life. Insiders prosper, outsiders are punished or are eliminated, and the masses simply endure.

A system of life that would allow Matthew Crawford to get a PhD in political science, work in a think tank for a few months, then quit the intellectual life in order to work as an amateur philosopher and full-time motorcycle mechanic -- is a system of many luxuries.
It's satisfying to complete a task from start to finish. Start a small business, or learn a trade—really! Do you know how much plumbers make? It also helps to imbue what you do with a sense of craftsmanship. Strive not for flimsy new economy "flexibility" but for real, handy expertise in a chosen field. The point is to achieve mastery, which in turn gives you a skill not subject to the whims of office politics.
How many societies can afford to educate persons at the PhD level, only to see them leap into the blue collar world voluntarily? Of course, Crawford's journey has not ended. In fact, from the blue collar world, he has leapt into the intellectual world of authors, with the publication of Shop Class as Soulcrafe: An Inquiry Into the Value of Work.

Systems of ethics depend entirely upon the degree of luxury a society extends to its members. Richer, more liberal societies can afford a much more intricate -- even counter-productive -- system of ethics, than can the brute force gangster existences of a growing portion of the world's populations in both the third world and the developed world (ethnic ghettoes of the central city and banlieus).

Morality preceded religion, and goes far deeper than religion. If humans in the developed world cannot develop a workable system of morality and ethics that persons of all religions can adhere to, they are in for violent clashes in the not so distant future.

In the United States, leftists have gained power in a quasi-stealthy manner reminiscent of how Hitler's Nazis gained power in Germany. With the early actions of the leftist reich, including the first Supreme Court nominee -- a left-radical extremist --, it is clear that the regime in power intends to enforce a leftist ethics upon the population at the point of a gun, via the force of law. It is an ambitious and revolutionary attempt to overhaul a system that has worked exceptionally well over a period of centuries.

Forced revolutions are either based on violence or lead to violence. Ethics and morality run too deeply within the human soul to be wrenched about by social engineers and crusaders. This interlude will end badly for everyone who has jumped upon the crusader bandwagon. And there will be a great deal of collateral damage.

A much wiser approach would be to work in the manner of the US Constitutional Congress to achieve a broadly applicable secular morality upon which a wise and acceptable system of law could be structured and extended.

The brute force, stealth revolutionary approach taken by Brock O'Bomba and his crew will run into objections of morality. Not only from established religions and churches. But from the deeper morality of the inner self.

Brock's only chance is for the economic situation to become so dire, and to bring so many people into dependency upon government benefits, salaries, and subsidies, that the US will fall essentially into the quasi-welfare state category -- with elements of dictatorship "insider chic", kowtowing to the gangsta leada.

In dire circumstances, most people will sell their ethical reservations for a pittance. Obama zombies have already sold their pittances to Brock O'Bomba. So have many public sector workers, academics, and journalists. But for Brock to succeed in the long run, the economic devastation would have to grow far more severe than it is likely to become before the next few elections.

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26 May 2009

Plenty of Room for Brains 3 or 4 Times the Size

How large can human brains grow, and still be workable thermodynamically? CIT scientist Jan Karbowski claims the human brain can grow to 3 or 4 times its current size of 1.5 kg, and still function without overheating.
The question on Karbowski's mind is whether there is any thermodynamic limit on brain size. And if so, does 5 kg, which Karbowski says is the mass of the largest mammalian brain, approach that limit?

Karbowski points out that brain cooling is not a classic problem of surface-area to volume. Instead, brain cooling is more closely comparable to that in a combustion heat engine where a liquid coolant removes heat.

"In the brain, the role of the coolant is played by the cerebral blood, but only in the deep region because there blood has a slightly lower temperature than the brain tissue," says Karbowski.

But in the regions closer to the surface, it is the oter way round: brain tissue is colder than the cerebral blood which warms the brain.

This implies that the thermodynamics of heat balance does not restrict the brain size. And this in turn suggests that brains could be heavier than 5 kg, says Karbowski. _TechnologyReview_via_Kurzweilai.net
Brain size in humans correlates with intelligence. As we learn more about how the brain achieves its portion of intelligence, we will learn ways to augment brain intelligence. Some of these augmentative approaches will utilise hardware external to the brain. But no doubt we will also learn to engineer living tissue to serve as brain repair and brain augment.

This would mean increasing the size of the living brain, introducing all sorts of problems relating to skull re-shaping, blood supply, and others we haven't thought of yet. Thanks to Karbowski, at least we won't have to worry about the thermodynamics of brain enlargement -- for now.

An excellent edition of Encephalon (#71) is available for your perusal at Neuroanthropology blog.

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Smarter Brain Monitoring

In recent years, better sensor technologies and data-processing techniques, as well as more detailed knowledge of the brain, have dramatically improved the information that can be extracted from EEG. For example, scientists now use computationally intense signal processing and pattern-recognition techniques to predict where in the brain a particular signal measured on the surface of the scalp originated or how different parts of the brain are connected. _TechnologyReview_via_ImpactLab
The before and after images on the right demonstrate the effects of two weeks of therapy on the brain of a stroke patient. Evidence of improved brain activity suggests that the therapy is working. Using information from EEG, advanced methods of data analysis can provide clinicians with up to the minute information about functional brain status.
EEG currently has a number of clinical applications--diagnosing sleep disorders or pinpointing the origin of a seizure, for example--but ElMindA and others aim to broaden its clinical use. The company has developed a novel system that calculates a number of different parameters from EEG data, such as the frequency and amplitude of electrical activity in particular brain areas, the origin of specific signals, and the synchronicity in activity in two different brain areas as patients perform specific tests on a computer. "We usually find patterns of activity which are very unique for the specific state of the patient," says Amir Geva, founder of the company and head of the biomedical laboratory at Ben-Gurion University.

The researchers are currently characterizing those patterns in the context of stroke therapy. Intensive rehabilitation after stroke can improve speech and motor problems by helping the brain to rewire, compensating for damaged circuits. At present, choosing the best therapy option for a patient is in part a trial-and-error process that can take weeks. But because healing capacity declines over time, it's imperative to find the most successful treatment as soon as possible after the stroke.
Therapy for stroke, depression, ADHD, etc. can be guided by this new type of "imaging". The equipment is far more portable than MRI scanners and PET scanners and reagents. In fact, using EEG neurofeedback in real time, therapists could actually watch the impact of therapy on brain learning and rehab while it is occurring during therapy.

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Peak Oil: Meet Clear Coal

Update 11 June 09: A reader emailed to request contact information for Coal Sack Energy. It seems he has some investors who want to back the company but cannot find a way to invest. Is it possible that Barak Obama -- who promised to bankrupt the coal companies -- has decided to block all access to investing in new coal technology? Just kidding. More likely, the company listed below is playing hard to get, for reasons of its own. So be careful when you invest. Some things sound too good to be true because they aren't.Brian Westenhaus gives us a look at a promising new treatment for coal and other carbon sources, Clear Coal. This process claims to remove all mercury and almost all sulfur from the coal in the process of increasing the available energy.
The technology is claimed to make it possible to convert any type or grade of coal, including scrap coal, oil shale, tar sands, etc., into three basic by-products char, synthetic oil and gas - through one integrated process.

Greg Boyd, 47, is the more youthful leader of CoalSack Energy. Asked by Bob McCarty for a 60-second spiel to a prospect Boyd answers with some interesting numbers. “I’d say we have a patent on low-temperature carbonization which takes out 99.2 percent of the sulfur from a ton of coal,” Boyd explained. “The mercury is not even measurable. We’re raising the BTUs by upwards of 40 percent, averaging between 28 and 40 percent. With the same ton of coal, we’re producing the highest grade of light sweet crude oil which can be turned into Jet A fuel and that we’re getting about 7,000 cubic feet of gas.”

...Using a low temperature carbonization process, we are able to carefully control internal temperature ranges inside a roasting unit called a Coal Carbonization Module or CCM™ to vaporize the contaminate elements contained within coal. These vaporized elements are then transported to tanks using steam, whereupon they are condensed into their natural, uncontaminated forms. We are able to produce the nearly contaminate-free char, synthetic oil, and synthetic gasses that are sold to industrial markets, such as refined into Coke for steel production, used for electricity production, or refined into liquid fuels like gasoline, diesel, and Jet A. The carbon monoxide and carbon dioxide production is also converted into liquid fuel, and injected into the product stream where it is sold as a value-added product.

Those four products are interesting. The char is a clean burning smokeless boiler fuel, which can be used for electricity and heat production. The char may also be used in the production of steel and activated charcoal products including filters and carbon fiber. Char has a higher BTU range than coal, 12MBTU/lb – 14MBTU/lb, making it more valuable per ton. Utilities using char as a fuel source become carbon creditors, and could eliminate expensive flue gas scrubbing units. _NewEnergyandFuel
This is an intriguing promise. The process purportedly removes pollutants, incorporates all carbon -- including CO and CO2 -- into useful fuel, and turns low grade "junk coal" into high grade fuels and fuels precursors.

I would like to see how it works on bitumens and kerogens, as well as dried compacted biomass.

Despite what you may have heard from your peak oil friends, the energy game is just getting started. Only an incompetent political reich can thrust civilisation into abject energy scarcity -- "political peak oil".

Cross-posted in Al Fin Energy

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Obama Stimulates Survival Economy

Across the United States, Americans are stocking up for the coming hard times. In cities and suburbs from coast to coast, stock brokers, physicians, accountants and small business owners are preparing for empty supermarket shelves and food riots in the coming age of scarcity.
Six months ago, Jim Wiseman didn't even have a spare nutrition bar in his kitchen cabinet.

Now, the 54-year-old businessman and father of five has a backup generator, a water filter, a grain mill and a 4-foot-tall pile of emergency food tucked in his home in the expensive San Diego suburb of La Jolla.

Wiseman isn't alone. Emergency supply retailers and military surplus stores nationwide have seen business boom in the past few months as an increasing number of Americans spooked by the economy rush to stock up on gear that was once the domain of hardcore survivalists.

These people snapping up everything from water purification tablets to thermal blankets shatter the survivalist stereotype: they are mostly urban professionals with mortgages, SUVs, solid jobs and a twinge of embarrassment about their newfound hobby.

From teachers to real estate agents, these budding emergency gurus say the dismal economy has made them prepare for financial collapse as if it were an oncoming Category 5 hurricane. They worry about rampant inflation, runs on banks, bare grocery shelves and widespread power failures that could make taps run dry.

... Joe Branin, owner of the online emergency supply store Living Fresh, said he's seen a 700 percent increase in orders for water purification tablets in the past month and a similar increase in orders for sterile water pouches.

He is shipping meals ready to eat and food bars by the case to residential addresses nationwide.

"You're hearing from the people you will always hear from, who will build their own bunkers and stuff," he said. "But then you're hearing from people who usually wouldn't think about this, but now it's in their heads: 'What if something comes to the worst?'"

Online interest in survivalism has increased too. The niche Web site SurvivalBlog.com has seen its page views triple in the past 14 months to nearly 137,000 unique visitors a week. Jim Rawles, a self-described survivalist who runs the site, calls the newcomers "11th hour believers." He charges $100 an hour for phone consulting on emergency preparedness and says that business also has tripled.

"There's so many people who are concerned about the economy that there's a huge interest in preparedness, and it pretty much crosses all lines, social, economic, political and religious," he said. "There's a steep learning curve going on right now." _Breitbart
Americans do not know quite what to expect from their inexperienced, seemingly inept new government, so they are wisely stocking up on guns, ammunition, food, water purification, medicines, power generation equipment, hard currencies and barter supplies. The smarter ones are sharpening skills apt to be much in demand during an extended Obama depression.

Not since President Carter has the survival hum been so loud across all parts of the US. Americans are increasingly sensing incompetence in their leadership, as they did in the late 1970s. In times of hunger and scarcity, all people lose their emotional equilibrium. But highly divided societies -- such as the current US -- are apt to lose their equilibrium quite quickly in a crisis. That is why people are stocking up.

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24 May 2009

Re-Inventing The Wheel? As Often as Possible

The military is trying to develop a better tire for HumVees and other vehicles -- a tire that cannot be punctured or shot out from under the vehicle. The "airless tire" is a project being worked on by the US DOD with the help of Resilient Technologies and the University of Wisconsin, Madison.
“You see reports all the time of troops who were injured by an IED or their convoys got stranded because their tires were shot out,” says Mike Veihl, general manager of Resilient. “There’s all sorts of armor on the vehicle, but if you’re running in the theater and get your tire shot out, what have you got? You’ve got a bunch of armor in the middle of a field.”

...The Wisconsin design breakthrough, first developed by Resilient’s in-house design and development team, takes a page from nature. “The goal was to reduce the variation in the stiffness of the tire, to make it transmit loads uniformly and become more homogenous,” Osswald says. “And the best design, as nature gives it to us, is really the honeycomb.”

...The patent pending Resilient design relies on a precise pattern of six-sided cells that are arranged, like a honeycomb, in a way that best mimics the “ride feel” of pneumatic tires. The honeycomb geometry also does a great job of reducing noise levels and reducing heat generated during usage - two common problems with past applications. “We definitely brainstormed,” says Foltz. “We wanted to create more of a matrix of cells within the tire, and it seemed kind of natural to go with the honeycomb’s hexagon shape. We tried some other shapes, such as diamond shapes, and they didn’t perform as well.” _Source
Honeycomb designs make sense for load distribution, but I suspect there is a better design waiting to be tried. A pneumatic tire distributes the load almost uniformly in continuously alternating tension-compression in the tire, distributed by the compressed air inside the tire.

This is the type of relatively simple engineering problem that computer models should be capable of handling. In terms of vehicle maneuverability, we may find that the pneumatic tire is not the best type of tire.

Interestingly, some of the same problems that need to be solved to design the best airless tire also need to be solved in the design of the modular seastead. The outer "rim" of the seasted needs to absorb the energy of the surrounding seas, protecting the sensitive living and working areas within.

Interesting work.

Previously published at Al Fin Potpourri

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22 May 2009

Obama's Policies Based on Pseudo-Science -- Real Scientists Hard At Work Doing Experiments

Obama's religion of manmade climate catastrophe is based upon pseudo-science. But since the debate is not over, and since the science is not yet in, real scientists are looking at some huge gaps in atmospheric knowledge. These gaps in the science of climate are huge and demand to be studied and filled in. Once the ignorance is dispelled, it should soon be clear that Obama and his bubble-headed cronies of green fantasy are simply destroying the economy of the US based upon a false premise.

One of the largest gaps in scientific knowledge pertaining to the Earth's climate, is how clouds affect the heat balance of the planet. Scientists from Brookhaven, Argonne, and UC Boulder aim to reduce that knowledge deficit, using high-tech microwave scanning of clouds.
“Clouds play a critical role in Earth’s weather and climate,” said Brookhaven atmospheric scientist Dong Huang, lead researcher for this study. “But poor understanding of clouds has long limited scientists’ ability to make accurate predictions about weather and climate change.”

One major challenge is the sheer scale of the problem: Cloud processes occur on spatial scales ranging from sub-micrometers (millionths of a meter) to thousands of kilometers. The typical probes used by scientists sample a tiny volume. “Using these methods, it would take hundreds of years to take readings from an entire cloud, while the typical lifetime of a cloud is just tens of minutes,” said ARM chief scientist Warren Wiscombe, a co-investigator on this study.

...The scientists will use a network of five microwave sensors to probe clouds’ thermal emission, or release of heat energy, along with two cloud radars, a variety of optical and infrared sensors, and weather balloons to measure other characteristics.

“Using this combination of instrumentation, we will be able to obtain three-dimensional ‘maps’ of the distribution of clouds, atmospheric moisture, and other characteristics over a domain of about 10 kilometers,” said Huang. _Physorg
Better data from actual experiments -- instead of an infinite regress of navel-gazing computer models based upon faulty data.

Another area of ignorance in computer climate models, is how clouds are actually formed. Cosmic rays affect cloud formation, and are strongest during times of weak solar activity. A giant balloon-based cosmic ray experiment by U Delaware researchers will add further knowledge to our understanding of the interaction of cosmic rays with our atmosphere.
AESOP's chambers contain five parallel aluminum plates connected, in alternate order, to ground and a high-voltage pulser. The medium between the plates is a slow-moving mixture of neon and helium. As a charged particle passes through a chamber, it leaves behind an ion trail in the gas. In the presence of a high electric field, the ions in the gas are accelerated toward the plate surface, resulting in a bright red vertical spark, which is digitized and recorded by a linear charge-coupled device (CCD) camera.

According to Clem, the level of solar activity rises and falls over a period of approximately 11 years and influences cosmic ray intensity. As solar activity rises, cosmic ray activity decreases. Currently, solar activity is low, and we are in a period of high cosmic ray intensity, Clem said.

“We're working to better understand how the sun's changing magnetic field affects cosmic ray propagation through the solar system,” Clem noted. _ScienceDaily
Yet another huge gap in knowledge for computer climate models, is the effect of the oceans on Earth's climate. The oceans appear to be losing heat at the very time that climate catastrophists such as Obama and Gore claim the Earth is warming. Climate alarmists cannot explain the discrepancy, so they ignore it, in the grand traditions of pseudo-science.

And then, of course, there is the 200 ton elephant in the climate room -- the sun. NASA's solar scientists are at a loss to explain their total failure in predicting the activity of the sun over the past two years, and its likely behaviour in the coming years. The sun is the source of heat input to Earth's climate. We are learning that the sun is a variable star. Its activity and energy output changes cyclically over time. The Earth necessarily responds to the sun's variation by varying its climate.

The climate orthodoxy (NASA GISS etc) neglects many of the most important drivers of climate in order to focus on anthropogenic CO2. This tunnel vision plays well on the media, and on the political stage. But it is a piss-poor way of doing science. In fact, it is pseudo-science at its worst. The fact that Obama is basing his destruction of the US economy on delusional pseudo-science tells us a great deal about the lack of substance of the narcissist-in-chief.

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21 May 2009

Consilience: How to Understand Everything

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Understanding everything can be difficult, since so much knowledge and expertise is "domain specific." Eric Drexler maintains that it is possible to learn "a broad and integrative kind of knowledge," which would lead to a more productive creativity and fewer mistakes and blunders.
Looking back over the last few decades, I can see that I’ve invested far more than 10,000 hours in learning about the structures, relationships, contents, controversies, open problems, limitations, capabilities, developing an understanding of how the fields covered in the major journals fit together to constitute the current state of science and technology. In some areas, of course, I’ve dug deeper into the contents and tools of a field, driven by the needs of problem solving; in others, I know only the shape of the box and where it sits.

This sort of knowledge is a kind of specialty, really — a limited slice of learning, but oriented crosswise. Because of this orientation, though, it provides leverage in integrating knowledge from diverse sources. I am surprised by the range of fields in which I can converse with scientists and engineers at about the level of a colleague in an adjacent field. I often know what to ask about their research, and sometimes what to suggest. _Metamodern
EO Wilson discussed this type of integration of knowledge in his book Consilience. Inventor and visionary Buckminster Fuller was one of the leading examples of such integration in action.

Our society would be much better off, if it focused more on the development of this type of integration of knowledge, and less on the current dysfunctional hyper-specialised, disconnected hodge-podge of politicised education (cum indoctrination). Our educational and knowledge institutions are becoming fortresses of inbred dogma, competing for power and influence with other similarly walled fortresses.

Consecutive generations grow more specialised, with shorter attention spans and ever narrower ranges of expertise, as the broad body of human knowledge grows willy-nilly in all directions. With modern information technology we can store, categorise, and retrieve information as never before, but if knowledge remains untested, disconnected, and largely theoretical, it serves more as fodder in institutional games of power than in improving the human condition.

Competence for the present and the coming world does not require a single college degree. Competence requires something far more difficult to obtain in our modern environment of fanatical superficiality. It requires the making and testing of large numbers of mental connections, across many boundaries of knowledge and experience.

There are no apprenticeships or professional schools for learning competence as such. Competence attaches itself to doctors, lawyers, electricians, engineers, scientists -- all within their narrow fields of expertise. That type of competence has helped to lift the modern western world out of starvation, most of the killing infectious diseases, and extreme poverty and lawlessness.

But the type of competence that humans need to take the next step, is a much broader and more encompassing form of competence than modern human societies understand. It is the broad competence of a frontiersman combined with the technical and scientific savvy of a first-rate engineer or scientist.

Modern human civilisation is unstable. Top heavy, with minimal vision or competence to deal with the unexpected. The great mass of long neglected human ballast is apt to teach the arrogant self-annointed "legends" who are in control, a very nasty lesson. That is, if modern societies do not "wise up" and teach their children to be competent and knowledgeable in a broadly integrative way.

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Seasteading Institute Project: Engineering

I have been informed by Patri Friedman of The Seasteading Institute, that detailed engineering information about TSI's "Clubstead" project is available at the TSI website. The Clubstead project is a scaled-down seastead for 270 people (200 guests and 70 staff) meant to serve as a hotel and casino. It would also serve as a "proof of concept" of the underlying design platform.Looking over the engineering designs and specs for Clubstead at TSI, I see that there is a great deal to admire about the design -- details which you could not, of course, detect from the design contest winners pictured here previously. As you can see in the drawing above, the cantilevered portion of the seastead platform is supported by support cables. You can also see the outline of strong horizontal steel trusses that connect the four steel columns that support the structure.

You can download the engineering reports in PDF format as a single file or individually from links at this location. The graphics showing the assembly of the platform and columns, along with the ballasting and de-ballasting of the columns in final assembly, are worth checking out, once you download the PDF file.

Although this design is for a much smaller seastead than would actually serve as a micro-nation, it would serve as a test platform for some of its unique ideas. In short, Patri Friedman and his group have made a good beginning in exploring some of the potential approaches to seastead engineering. With the financial backing of Peter Thiel and other contributors, they should be able to proceed to more testing. The PR promotional aspects of TSI are also important for the overall movement.

Now, without having seen the engineering specs, my first impression of the TSI platform was not favourable. After looking over the specs, I can see that many vital details that I thought neglected, were considered after all. Not all, but quite a few. Even so, the Clubstead design would likely not survive a full year in the Pacific Northwestern open waters. And you would not expect it to be able to do so, as an untested design.

Modifications that are made to the design with further testing should make Clubstead more seaworthy, and resistant to the unexpected problems that inevitably occur, courtesy of Mr. Murphy. As larger and larger scale models are tested against harsher and harsher conditions, the computer model will be proved or falsified. The full scale Clubstead itself will necessarily be tested in milder waters over a period of time, before the ocean ocean is dared.

Then, if the Clubstead -- which is itself a scaled down seastead -- is able to withstand the rigours of the open sea, the lessons learned from Clubstead can be applied to the design and construction of newer versions of the same and larger scale.

The Seasteading Institute has always had the support of the Al Fin blogs. Thanks again to Patri Friedman for spearheading this important movement.

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20 May 2009

Biodegradable Plastics 3 Different Ways

We are moving from a petroleum world to a biological world. Fuels, plastics, chemicals, and materials that typically are made from petroleum are now being made from biomass and garbage. Combining expertise from microbiology, genetics, chemistry, thermodynamics, nanotechnology, materials science, and other scientific and technical fields, researchers are bringing about a significant transformation of the advanced economies.

1. Mark van Loosdrecht of Delft University of Technology in the Netherlands:
van Loosdrecht has been working on using bacteria to transform this waste into bioplastics known as polyhydroxyalkanoates (PHAs).

PHAs are linear polyesters produced by bacterial fermentation of sugar or lipids (fats). They are produced by the bacteria to store carbon and energy. More than 150 different monomers can be combined within this family to give materials with extremely different properties.

These plastics are biodegradable and are used in the production of bioplastics. However, the high cost of PHA production compared to conventional plastics has limited their use in a wide range of applications.

Using technology derived from wastewater treatment systems, van Loosdrecht and his lab have developed a process using open microbial cultures to convert organic wastes to PHAs.

This new process is able to produce just as much PHA as existing processes at specific rates that are up to three times faster. _TOI_via_ImpactLab

2. Richard Gross from the Polytechnic University in Brooklyn, New York
Richard Gross from the Polytechnic University in Brooklyn, New York, is using bacteria that produce a building block from vegetable oils that can be used to make a plastic that is very much like polyethylene.

However, unlike polyethylene, when it becomes waste, it can be converted by mild enzymatic methods to biodiesel fuel. _TOI_via_ImpactLab

3. Kevin O'Connor at the University College in Dublin, Ireland
O'Connor has found a way to transform traditional plastics into biodegradable plastics.

Using a process called pyrolysis, the waste plastics are heated in the absence of air, causing a breakdown of the molecular bonds.

What's left is an oil that is then fed to natural soil bacteria that use it to produce PHA. _TOI_via_ImpactLab

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Seastead Design Contest Winners: Could Any of Them Survive On the Open Sea?

Source for Images
These are the winners of the $2000 1st Seasteading Institute Design Contest, which closed for entries on May 1. The overall winner above -- "Swimming City" -- won a $1000 prize, and the category winners below each won $250. It is important to give The Seasteading Institute (TSI) full credit for creatively pushing the seasteading concept of "freedom on the high seas." All of the winners are certainly aesthetically pleasing. But can a person survive in the middle of the ocean on aesthetics?If a beautiful seastead capsizes in a storm, it becomes a beautiful wreck on the bottom of the ocean. Like the Titanic, such a seastead would be a magnet for filmmakers, adventurers, and treasure hunters. Those lost at sea in such a catastrophe would be properly mourned, no doubt. But why put one's faith in aesthetics, when basic nautical design precautions could produce a seastead that would actually be viable?These are the early stages of the seastead vision, and young, inexperienced visionaries are often drawn toward eye candy conceptualisations. As public relations devices, beautiful images can attract the attention of investors and potential participants. For that purpose -- attention grabbing -- the contest winners serve well. But most investors who invest their own money will be looking more deeply, toward viability and sustainability. Can it survive the worst the sea can throw at it? How will it pay for itself? How does it work at the nuts and bolts level?The design contest winners this year -- the 1st year of contests -- all seem to be built on the same basic support structure: multiple support columns holding up a rectangular or circular platform. The columns are presumably floating spars, but could conceivably be large piles penetrating the seafloor: the difference between a free-floating island seastead and a fixed-in-place platform seastead.All of the designs appear more suitable for sheltered bays, harbours, or inlets, rather than the open ocean. It is the type of design one might locate close to Sydney, Vancouver, San Francisco, or Venice. But would a floating multi-spar platform with these dimensions and superstructures survive long in the open ocean?

This goes to the heart of the purpose of a seastead. If its purpose is to create valuable real estate in the vicinity of a large city, designs such as those above might serve quite nicely. If the purpose is to create an independent micro-nation, free from the interference of oppressive statist societies, marine designers will need to dig more deeply in the well of the informed imagination.

I salute TSI for initiating the broad discussion of the seasteading and micronation concepts on the web and beyond. My only suggestion is an additional category for the design contest: the "open ocean, hell and high water" category. Winners in that category would need to possess the extra-aesthetic qualities that will allow a seastead and its inhabitants to survive and thrive in the unpredictable environment of the sea.

More: Here is an interesting "chat" on the TSI site regarding existing designs and structures that might be modified for seasteading (including oil rigs and used cruise ships)

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19 May 2009

Virtual School Gaining Ground

Around the US, virtual online schools are allowing students much broader choices of curricula, providing the possiblity of "personalised" education for self-starting, ambitious students.
Self-paced courses allow students who learn quickly to complete courses at a pace that remains engaging and avoids boredom before they move on to the next course. Flexible courses give students who need more time and practice to accomplish course objectives the built-in opportunity to take the time without the stigma of asking for an exception to a rigid calendar. Millions of K-12 students have taken control of their learning time in distance courses. Distance education, as a learner-centered approach to education, is an efficient learning environment that focuses the teacher’s attention on the specific performance of individual students, guiding them as needed to achieve success. The student-teacher relationship is immediate and personal. _AmericanProgress
Although teachers' unions and other top-heavy bureaucracies are trying to limit student choice, the virtual school movement is spreading to every state, at all levels from K-12 through university. The cost advantage for schools is one of many aspects of online education that is attracting attention.
Based on a 2008 survey of 20 virtual schools in 14 states, UF researchers found that the average yearly cost of online learning per full-time pupil was about $4,300. This compared with a national average cost per pupil of more than $9,100 for a traditional public school in 2006 (the most recent year in which such data was available). Their cost estimates covered course development and teaching, and administrative and technical expenses.

“Online programs have little or no cost for instructional facilities, transportation and related staff,” Cavanaugh said. “The value of distance education also increases when considering the broad range of available online courses.”

She said investing in virtual education could allow schools to provide instruction before, during and after school — in essence, lengthening the school day and school year — without sinking millions of dollars into new buildings, additional personnel, professional development and other operating costs. Such school reform measures may not be popular with the kids, but America’s education system is falling behind our competitors abroad. Simply put, students in other developed nations are spending more time in school and learning more than our kids do. _UFlorida_via_SwampWoman
Wisconsin is one of the states where virtual schools have fought the unions and bureaucracies to come out victorious on the other side.
There are more than 2,300 virtual students in Wisconsin studying at 14 schools. It's becoming more popular. Virtual schools is kind of like home-schooling for the internet generation, but it lets students work with certified teachers instead of relying on parents to develop instruction.

"To me, it's the best of both worlds," says Marcy's mom, Julie. "You can work at your own pace but also have teacher support." _Source
One interesting development in online education at college level, is the free access offering of selected Kaplan Higher Education courses as part of the Open Courseware Consortium. As the open courseware movement expands, options for free online learning will grow. And that should open the door for more independent certification organisations that can test and certify students for the benefit of potential employers and learning institutions.

College students can also use free online courses as preparation for challenging courses via test, or for taking knowledge assessment exams for college credit. Students could easily test out of a year or more of college using these free online courses.

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Dean Kamen's Magic Stirling Engine


...the Stirling, was invented in 1816 by Scottish clergyman Robert Stirling. He found that alternately heating and cooling gases in a closed system could create power to do work, such as drive a piston. But...the Stirling was mostly forgotten, even though its simple concept is “elegant, it’s brilliant,” Kamen says. But its time to shine might be now. All-electric cars still suffer from wimpy batteries that limit driving range and refuel slowly. “The energy you can carry around in a liter of gasoline is 100 times higher than you can carry in the same size and weight of a battery,” Kamen says. “And that’s going to be true for a long time.” _CSMonitor_via_Keelynet
The Stirling engine has long been a solution looking for a problem. But inventor Dean Kamen seems to have found more than one good use for the venerable heat engine.

Mr. Kamen, an inventor and entrepreneur perhaps best known for the two-wheel Segway Human Transporter, doesn’t want to get into the car business himself. He just wants to see the Stirling engine that helps power the REVOLT be mass produced for vehicles. That would drive down the price, he says, and allow it to be cost-effective in another role: as a miniature electric plant for villages in the developing world.

A Stirling can run on just about anything that creates heat, from gasoline, kerosene, and ethanol, to natural gas, propane, hydrogen, and, yes, the methane given off by animal manure.

In a recent test, two villages in Bangladesh ran Stirling engines to create electricity for 24 weeks – using only cow dung for fuel. “We’re pretty excited about that,” Kamen says. _CSMonitor
The best power plant for a hybrid automobile will be a fuel cell running on a simple liquid fuel like methanol. The next best power plant may very well be a Stirling engine -- which can be available in quantity now, unlike the fuel cell which will take a few more years of development to perfect. Hybrid cars need a constant power source for charging the batteries. Stirling engines can plug away at constant speed, day after day, year after year, without complaint.

Using a sophisticated internal combustion engine in a serial hybrid automobile is expensive and unnecessary. A turbine engine would be ideal except for the expense, the noise, and its sensitivity to teenage driving habits. The Stirling makes sense, until low cost methanol powered fuel cells are perfected for autos. Even then, cost factors may well favour the Stirling.

These issues will not be settled in the US auto market, due to the massive amount of regulation crushing the US auto industry. But the rest of the world may begin to gain confidence, as the Obama depression wears on, killing the US economy and US credibility in world markets.

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The Way of the World, Coming Anarchy

The image above illustrates the region of "Pushtunistan", a land of great violence and fanaticism. It is easy to see from the map why the violence is impossible for any one country to control. The green Pashtun regions stretch from Pakistan, through Afghanistan, to just inside Iran.
... with the Pashtun in their own homeland free from outside overlords their reason for supporting the Taliban politically would disappear and the incompatibility between the Taliban’s extreme form of Islam and the Pashtun’s own traditional religious forms would put the two at odds more often than not.

Rather than insisting on fighting the Pashtun, the amswer in Af/Pak may lie in giving them back the independence they once had. _Zenpundit
Similar situations exist around the world, with the map of Kurdistan above another example. Tribal peoples are arbitrarily crammed together with ancient enemies inside the same geographical borders, and expected to behave as loyal countrymen to their enemies.

Only the application of extreme force has allowed such arbitrary national constructs to survive for this long, post-colonially. As the power of the US to enforce arbitrary boundaries subsides with the rise of Obama, the lack of a credible world hegemon will allow such tribal conflicts to erupt into full ferocity across multiple parts of the world. In many cases, it will be in the interest of China to encourage such "wars of independence," just as the USSR promoted such violence across much of the world in the 20th century.

World travel is going to become even more interesting than it already has done.

More here

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18 May 2009

Europe Down-Sizing Its Automobiles

This new automobile runs on a lawnmower engine, and is felt to be the appropriate size for helping lower the EU's carbon footprint. With this breakthrough, EU countries can build much smaller highways, with the consequent savings in building materials and needed right of ways. How did they do it?
The chassis started out as a children’s toy car, and after Watkins bolted on working headlights and tail lights, windshield wipers, turn signals and a horn, he was allowed to tack on a license plate and make it fully street legal. Now, you might see him scooting around the streets of Staffordshire in this little crazy car at speeds of up to 40mph.

Never mind what would happen to you if this puny vehicle got into an accident - it gets 70 miles per gallon! Want to see how he built it? Take a look at this video:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yL9YuEjjrs8

_Impactlab
Car makers around the world will have to hurry to catch up, or they will lose out to European manufacturers of the new size-appropriate automobile class. Next, the EU plans to have its genetic scientists devise a way to genengineer size-appropriate people.

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You Can Train a Monkey to Do Surgery

You can train a monkey to do surgery! That's what one of my anatomy professors used to say -- and he is a surgeon himself, so he should know. And now, with improved surgical simulator trainers, you can teach monkeys to operate even more quickly, and with better surgical technique!
The researchers put the obstetrics and gynaecology medics in two groups - one which had the traditional training of working alongside doctors and tutoring and another which supplemented this with seven hours simulator training.

They found that those that used the computer simulators were twice as quick, taking just 12 minutes to complete the operation on a patient. They also carried out better procedures, according to a points system used to judge the quality of the work.

Lead researcher Christian Rifbjerg Larsen said: "Simulator training should be incorporated into the curriculum for all surgical trainees before they embark on patient procedures..."This can potentially improve patient safety and improve operation room efficiency." _BBC_via_FierceHealthcare
Just like flight simulators, surgical and OB simulators can provide a wider range of surgical complications than most surgeons-in-training might typically see. This will make them better surgeons -- monkeys or human. ;-)

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Basic Facts About the Energy Challenge

Here are a few basic energy numbers from David MacKay. As the importance of moving away from dictator-controlled energy grows more apparent, we will need to pay more attention to the underlying numerical comparisons between various energy loads and energy supplies. We will need to become more literate in the mathematics of energy.
One kilowatt-hour (kWh) is the energy used by leaving a 40-watt bulb on for 24 hours. The chemical energy in the food we eat to stay alive amounts to about 3 kWh per day. Taking one hot bath uses about 5 kWh of heat. Driving an average European car 100 kilometers (roughly 62 miles) uses 80 kWh of fuel....

To supply 42 kWh per day per person from solar power requires roughly 80 square meters per person of solar panels.

To deliver 42 kWh per day per person from wind for everyone in the United States would require wind farms with a total area roughly equal to the area of California, a 200-fold increase in United States wind power.

To get 42 kWh per day per person from nuclear power would require 525 one-gigawatt nuclear power stations, a roughly five-fold increase over today's levels....

Most prototype hydrogen-powered vehicles use more energy than the fossil-fuel vehicles they replace. The BMW Hydrogen 7, for example, uses 254 kWh per 100 km, but the average fossil car in Europe uses 80 kWh per 100 km.

.....The problem with hydrogen is that both the creation and the use of hydrogen are energy-inefficient steps. Adopting hydrogen as a transport fuel would increase our energy demand. And, as I hope the numbers above have shown, supplying energy to match our demand is not going to be easy. _CNN
H/T Ron Rupper

For a genuine education in the numbers of energy, go to David MacKay's website and download a free PDF version of Without Hot Air.

Cross posted at Al Fin Energy

Renewable energy such as solar and wind are useful on a local scale -- particularly for off-grid applications. But they are not practical for large scale utility use, given their enormous problems with intermittency, unreliability, huge instabilities inflicted on the power grid, and a lack of affordable utility-scale energy storage means.

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China's Economic Outlook Grim

"As revenue falls and pressures for spending increase constantly... the full-year fiscal outlook is grim," the [China Finance] ministry said. _TerraDaily
China's internal economy is not yet large enough to prevent massive unemployment and significant economic turbulence in the middle kingdom, although government spending is being ratcheted up in an effort to "jump-start" the flagging economy. We have already seen how China's economic numbers are not to be trusted, and how important it is to look at underlying figures such as energy consumption -- which has dropped significantly along with exports and foreign investment.

China's amazing economic growth over the past two decades has been due largely to foreign investment and a booming export market. In a world recession such as the current Obama Depression, both foreign investment to China and Chinese exports to the outside world will necessarily decline.

China is not ready to take over as the world hegemonic power, despite the golden opportunity that the new US President Obama is providing. Certainly Russia will never fill that role. And Europe, after it feels the full impact of the Obama revolution, will be reeling for many decades and in no position to provide world leadership.

That suggests a type of co-hegemony between a weakening US, a weakening Europe, and a slowly strengthening China -- with intermittent attempts by Russia to re-capture its superpower status via energy blackmail and threats of resource wars. Such a state of the world is apt to be unstable -- particularly if Obama proceeds with his Carteresque unilateral disarmament plans.

The real world of idiocracy hates a power vacuum. As more and more distinct parts of the world become enveloped in power vacuums facilitated by Obama's amazing incompetence added to the simple fact that the US cannot afford to police the entire world any longer, more of the world will fall into anarchy and violence. All the wishful thinking of all the Obama Zombies in the world cannot prevent it.

In the long run, the US may discard the Obama rot and recover some of its lost vitality. And China, in the long run, is likely to internally generate more and more of its own prosperity. But the real hope for the long run is the real danger: revolutionary technologies and science. The djinn is out of the bottle, and no matter how much Obama wants to create a neat world order of corporate socialism controlled by himself and his cronies, the sheer power of the coming technologies combined with the natural independence and willfulness of the human mind, will not allow that static vision.

Buckle up for the ride. Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.

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17 May 2009

Adventures of the World's Smartest Man and his Dirty Rat Bastard Psychopath Stepfather


Chris Langan scored near 200 IQ points on an intensive neuropsychological evaluation of his intelligence. He grew up in poverty, and has worked in construction and in a bar as a bouncer. The above video is part 1 of a three part series. All three videos can be found together (H/T SimoleonSense)

Marilyn vos Savant is reputed to be the most intelligent person on Earth. Like Chris Langan, she grew up in very modest circumstances, and makes a living at a job that many people consider beneath her intelligence.

Today's very bright person can feel quite alone, with no clear path to maximise their effectiveness in life, and no obvious place to belong. Many of them end up bruised and warped by their misadventures in the larger world, if they do not have the fortune to achieve a success that allows them to erect buffers against the outer world's abrasive and invasive nature.

Next level humans will have an average intelligence of at least 200. But a person is much more than an IQ score. Executive function (EF) is more important to life success than IQ. And in order to exhibit true genius, a person needs a dogged single-mindedness that refuses to quit before a problem is solved.

The next level will have its share of single-minded geniuses, but I suspect that most of its human population will be broadly gifted and widely competent. With a few genetic breakthroughs, very very bright people will be much more common. They will share an accelerated intellectual upbringing, and will always know that there are others who understand them.

Making very smart people is just the bare beginning to building a next level human. Modern society seems equipped only to destroy such people. The next level society, a very ethical and moral society compared to modern society, will be equipped to give them the tools for fulfillment, achievement, and happiness.

Chris Langan Part 2

Chris Langan Part 3

Here is a more recent video of Chris Langan, as a farmer. As you can see from the latest video, Chris has married and settled on a farm in Missouri, and seems content.

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Europe's Vacation from History Is Ending

From 1945 to the present, Western Europe has enjoyed a vacation from war and predation, courtesy of the great Satan, the USA. Eastern Europe enjoyed a rather different sort of vacation from 1945 to the late 1980s and early 1990s. But Eastern Europe's vacation was a retreat from reality of sorts as well -- free from war if not predation.

Now, in the early 21st century, the USA is barely in condition to guarantee its own security -- much less the security of allies thousands of miles distant from US borders. As the US economy proceeds to be scuttled and stripped by FOBs -- "Friends of Barry" -- the US military will necessarily be downsized and neglected, allowed to rust and deteriorate. As this happens, US allies will be left out in the cold, to fend for themselves.

Tax rates are high in Western Europe, even without the expense of maintaining an effective military. The defense umbrella that has been maintained over the continent for all of these decades has more than sufficed in the place of home-grown defense services. Under the US' protection, Europe has prospered as children prosper under the protection of powerful family protectors. With the impending loss of such diligent protection, it is uncertain what Europe will do.

The demographic dynamic of Europe is one of decline. The subcontinent itself is not growing smaller, it is the population of indigenous Europeans who are melting away through lack of self-replacement. Temporarily, this makes for more leisure time -- more time for selfish pleasures, travels, and delights. In the long run -- particularly given the impending loss of the US defense umbrella -- it opens the door to more prolific, less sophisticated and intelligent barbarians from just outside the gates.

US President Obama has taken a snapshot of Europe, one that he views with fondness and a bit of envy. Mr. Obama would like to make the US more like Europe in several ways. More government involvement in every aspect of life. Higher taxes for businesses and individuals. Less social mobility, thus more stability for the established order -- once a proper order is established. Less individual freedom of action and expression.

What Mr. Obama fails to realise is that the snapshot he possesses is not real. It is years if not decades out of date, and fading more quickly than his imagination can compensate. It was never real, of course. US protection of the subcontinent, and other subsidies that are never taken into account, have allowed Europeans an extended vacation from history. President Obama is putting an end to that vacation, albeit inadvertently.

While Mr. Obama attempts to recreate a delusionary mental image of Europe inside the United States, Europe itself will face some very difficult realites that is has been able to avoid for multiple generations.

If you are growing tired of Europe, the US, and the UK, I recommend taking a look at Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. Ireland and Scotland may also have time to make important concessions to personal liberty, if they can shut down destructive immigration programs. Switzerland still has time to wake up, as well.

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15 May 2009

A Brain Changes Over Time: Make Yours Count

Anyone who has studied the behaviour of children, adolescents, and adults understands that -- beyond basic aptitude -- brains function differently at different ages and levels of experience. Now neuroscientists at WUSM in St. Louis have the beginning of an explanation for the differences -- adult brain centers learn to communicate quickly across greater distances.
The results have revealed that most of the connections in children's brains are formed between regions of the cortex that are physically close to each other. Conversely, in adults' brain, most such paths are created between distant brain regions, which are not functionally linked to each other. The scientists have also determined that kids have a very reduced number of long-distance brain connections, as opposed to adults, where this form of interaction is the standard. _Softpedia
The explanation sounds simple, but the reality is far more complex. The brain is plastic throughout life, but particularly during early childhood and adolescence. The mechanism for brain plasticity is defined genetically, and influenced by the brains environment in the womb and in infancy. The specifics of micro-plasticity of particular brain regions are strongly influenced by environment in childhood and adolescence. If a child learns a second language, is trained in music, or studies martial arts, for example, the brain organises itself differently.

Throughout childhood, myelination of brain pathways occurs from back to front -- from occipital to pre-frontal. The famous "developmental windows" of a child's brain correspond roughly to periods of regional myelination. A person's pre-frontal myelination may not be completed until the age of 25 or 30, suggesting that that person's brain is not fully functional (lacking in judgment and perspective) prior to that age. But in order to acquire the ability to communicate "by long distance", brain centers need more than well-myelinated neural connections.

They need to learn the neural language of synchronous oscillations, in order for enough complementary brain centers to be able to interact simultaneously to create rich and textured perceptions and conceptualisations. Closer brain centers tend to communicate via beta wave synchrony. Farther centers tend to use gamma wave synchrony. The significance of these distinctions is still being worked out.

Younger brains can certainly be as "intelligent" as older brains, in terms of IQ scores. But it is unlikely for a young brain to be able to achieve the complexity or efficiency of thought and action that an older brain can display, to say nothing of wisdom and perspective. Part of the difference may well be due to lack of experience / knowledge. Part may well be due to differences in myelination and underlying micro-connectivity.

Here is the huge problem we are facing as a society: modern educational and child-rearing methods are permanently handicapping the brains of our young, by missing critical "developmental windows". Large chunks of entire generations have been lost so far due to our societal dysfunction in this regard. And there are no signs that society is waking up -- quite the opposite in fact. A societal wide shortage of competence is likely to be the result.

As baby boomers start retiring, critical skills shortages will grow more acute. Besides being fewer in number, subsequent generations have been damaged more thoroughly by the wave of social engineering that hit university schools of education in the late 60s and early 70s. This damage to young minds is not slowing down, but is growing worse. Under the Obama / Pelosi reich -- which is most beholden to teachers' unions and more radical academics -- the brain killing machine will only grow larger and stronger.

In order to create a core of competent individuals and communities that will be able to best take advantage of the coming breakthroughs in genetics, neuroscience, and psycho-philosophy, it is important that large numbers of parents opt out of government education and other brain-stunting influences of popular and mainstream culture. As an atheist, I choose to be neither pro-religion nor anti-religion in the coming cultural schisms. There are larger things at stake.

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Smaller Than a Grain of Rice, Tiny Implants Buzz Away Pain and Someday Perhaps Sorrow

These tiny implantable nerve stimulators are meant to stimulate peripheral nerves to treat chronic pain and other neurological disorders. But eventually, devices this small -- or smaller -- will fit near or within the brain, to deliver tiny currents of healing and eventually pleasure.
Like some cochlear implants and other medical devices, the implant is powered with radio-frequency transmission: radio waves transmitted by the external coil generate a magnetic field in the internal coil, which powers the electrodes. Adopting technologies from the rapidly advancing RFID world has allowed the researchers to further shrink the device. "Instead of trying to transfer energy from two coupled antennas to do telemetry, which is a common approach for medical devices, RFID is geared to have very small transponders, so you don't need a large coil," says Joseph Pancrazio, a program director at the National Institute for Neurological Disorders and Stroke, a government funding agency, in Bethesda, MD, that has given the company small business loans.

The research is still in a very early stage. Researchers have developed a prototype device, which they are testing in rats. The device can effectively stimulate peripheral nerves in rats, although it's not yet clear whether the electrical stimulation alleviates chronic pain. (Scientists assess chronic pain in rats by recording how much the animals eat; a rat in pain won't eat as much.)

Some scientists are skeptical that the device will be powerful enough to deliver a therapeutic level of stimulation. "The main limitation of any electronic device small enough to be injected into the body is that it must receive enough power to operate its circuitry and provide the required stimulation parameters," says Gerald Loeb, director of the Medical Device Development Facility at the University of Southern California, in Los Angeles. Loeb has also developed an injectable radio-powered microstimulator, which he says has encountered substantial limitations in range and power.

"We believe we can do it with less power," says Scott Armstrong, MicroTransponder's chief technical officer. However, he declined to give further details of the technology for proprietary reasons. _TechnologyReview
If not now, soon. It is quite clever of the researchers to use RFID technology for implantable nerve stimulators. Such an approach could be easily transferred to intracranial implants-without-antennas, as long as the power signal was able to safely penetrate the skull without damaging intervening tissues. Otherwise, antennas that are colour-matched to the person's hair could transmit the power signal to the implant. Advances in biocompatible materials will make such long-term implants viable.

Needless to say, technology that allows for miniaturisation of implants should also allow for simultaneous placement of multiple, strategically-placed implants that could communicate with each other, and coordinate for sophisticated neuro-stim routines.

Cross-posted at Al Fin Longevity

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Obama's Malaise, Europe's Economy, Oil Bust

Many people have pointed out the similarities between former president Jimmy Carter, and current president Barak Obama. In fact, the economic devastation the US is in for now may in many ways be just a belated Carter second presidential term.

Obama goes far beyond Carter in the corruption department, however. There is no financial pie that Obama will not thrust his fingers into, as long as there is loot to hand out to friends and supporters.

And you know US government debt is becoming disastrous when Obama himself warns about its size and long-term consequences. The only problem is that Obama's words mean absolutely nothing. It is only Obama's actions that signify.

Europe's economy in the first 2009 quarter was nothing to write home about. Down, down, down.
Germany, Europe's biggest economy, contracted by 3.8% in the first quarter, equivalent to an annualized rate of -14.4%, in the country's worst quarterly performance since official records started in 1970. Sharply falling exports and business investment were behind the slump, the government said, whereas consumer spending grew slightly, thanks in no small part to Germany's cash-for-clunkers incentives, which led to higher new-car sales.

....Italian GDP fell 2.4% in the first quarter, or by 9.4% at an annualized rate, as the downturn in European and global trade hit the country's industries.

France's economy, which depends less on exports than Germany's or Italy's, shrank by 1.2% in the first quarter, or an annualized 4.7%. The French government also revised down GDP for the third quarter of last year to -0.2% from a previously positive +0.1%, meaning that French GDP has now contracted in the last four quarters, like the euro-zone economy overall.

Spain already published figures on Thursday showing that its economy shrank by 1.8% last quarter, or by 7% at an annualized rate. Spain is suffering both from falling exports and from the implosion of the country's decade-long construction boom. _WSJ
Some recent numbers suggest Europe's economies may start to recover by the end of 2009, but those rosy predictions ignore the other shoes yet to drop on Europe's banks and financial sectors.

And while the Baltic Dry Index (BDI)has risen, oil demand appears to be falling at the sharpest rate since 1981.
In its closely watched monthly survey, the Paris-based agency said it now expects global oil demand to fall 3 percent to 83.2 million barrels a day this year, or 2.6 million barrels a day less than in 2008.

That is the ninth consecutive monthly cut the IEA has made to its oil demand forecast since last August, when the IEA had forecast oil demand would reach 87.8 million barrels a day in 2009.

Since then, the IEA has steadily lowered its forecasts as the financial crisis plunged the world into the deepest global recession since the Great Depression. _Chronicle
It also appears that China has been inflating the BDI via orders from steel and construction materials plants that have failed to adjust targets downward in recognition of the global recession. The Chinese government has ordered banks to begin refusing loans to these "big spenders in denial."

H/T News Alert and Instapundit

More: Obama's world sliding into danger

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14 May 2009

Colleges Without Tuition: Study for Free

These 8 tuition-free colleges come from Mental Floss Blog, via News Alert and LewRockwell. The first group require a student to work a relatively small number of hours per week to pay for tuition. The second group of colleges provide full tuition for all students. The last college is giving free tuition to one law school class as a publicity stunt.
Every student works nominal time for tuition:
College of the Ozarks, Missouri
Deep Springs College, California
Berea College, Kentucky
Alice Lloyd College, Kentucky

Full scholarship for every student:
Olin College of Engineering, Massachusetts
Cooper Union, Manhattan
Curtis Institute of Music, Philadelphia

Publicity stunt:
UC Irvine School of Law, California
_ MentalFloss
Several prestigious schools have large enough endowments to provide free tuition to students, but to do so would require the schools' staff and faculty to focus on essentials, and pare down luxury salaries and perqs. Most staff at these universities are good leftists, and wouldn't dream of giving up elitist advantage for anyone.

What do you think? Should students have to work 10 or 15 hours a week to pay for their college tuition. It is doubtful that the work is at all demanding in any way, for most of the students. Is there any reason that students should learn how to work, or to experience the least bit of responsibility before graduating from college, university, or professional school?

How long will it be before well endowed, high quality online educational institutions begin offering full scholarships to large numbers of students? Certainly if Bill Gates had the least amount of wisdom, he would have cruised this avenue long before he poured so many billions down so many counter-productive ratholes. But then he might not have been seen as politically correct, so I suppose that would not have served.

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Public Sector Unions Are Killing United States

Some five million private-sector workers have lost their jobs in the last year alone, and their unemployment rate is above 9% according to the BLS. By contrast, public-sector employment has grown in virtually every month of the recession, and the jobless rate for government workers is a mere 2.8%. For anyone who thinks such low unemployment numbers are good news, remember that the bulging public sector must be paid for with revenues that most governments don't currently have. This is one reason for a spate of state and local tax increases, such as $5 billion in tax increases New York state passed in April, and $12 billion in tax increases California's legislature agreed to in February that will only become law if voters pass a series of ballot initiatives next week. _WSJ_via_NewsAlert
If you are a member of a government employee public sector union, enjoy your job security while it lasts. And try to keep a low profile. Because there are a lot of angry, unemployed people out there who are hurting because of your unions. For now, your unions can keep these angry citizens and other taxpayers from upsetting the applecart. Unions have government officials and elected representatives in their pockets. Union PR flacks can hold off any voter initiatives that threaten the gravy train -- for now.
...powerful and savvy, public unions have moved effectively to quash antitax movements. In New Jersey, public unions derailed a taxpayer revolt in 2005 by using their legislative clout to water down a bill that would have created a state constitutional convention to enact property-tax reform. Meanwhile, under pressure from unions, state legislatures in places like Florida have been tightening rules and requirements for passing voter initiatives and referenda -- blunting a favorite tool of antitax groups.

In states like Iowa where public unionization rates are still low government workers have had to accept concessions. But allies of the unions in Washington are working to rectify that situation with union-friendly legislation like the card check bill, which will make organizing much easier.

In the private sector such efforts will still be subject to the demands of the marketplace. Employers who are too generous with pay and benefits will be punished. In the public sector, however, more union members means more voters. And more voters means more dollars for political campaigns to elect sympathetic politicians who will enact higher taxes to foot the bill for the upward arc of government spending on workers. That will be the pattern for the indefinite future unless taxpayers find a way to roll back the enormous power public workers have acquired.
Are you thinking that this huge union power grab is likely to lead to violence? Eventually, of course it will. For now, if you can grab a piece of the loot -- including some of the most ungodly generous pensions in the country -- go ahead. Obama and Pelosi are on your side. But watch your back. More and more people every day are beginning to watch it, and you may not like what they are thinking.

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Obama's Coming Hyper-Inflation: What Will You Use For Money To Feed and Shelter Yourself?

If you are a government employee, with wage increases tied to inflation, you will do better than most. But unless you are paid increased wage paychecks every day, it will be easy to fall behind Obama's coming hyperinflationary expansion. Anyone living on a fixed income, or on savings, will have a very hard time of it.
The hyperinflation meme is rising on the Media-Attention-Meter. A lot of commenters treat hyperinflation as an event horizon, beyond which no information is available. That's not exactly true.

There is a pattern to hyperinflation, and while it can be really nasty, it is not the end of the world.

It could, however, be the end of your retirement account, assuming it consists of treasuries, mortgage-backed securities, derivatives, or other abstract financial instruments that are not based on anything real. U.S. Dollars fall squarely under that category.

And I've been meaning to post something at least a little positive for once: On the plus side, if you can maintain income increases through the hyperinflation phase, you could possibly pay off your debts really quickly. _Hyperinflation-Watch_via_PowerandControl
If you have a large debt, and have an income linked to inflation rates, you may be able to pay a huge debt off very rapidly, as Zendraken mentions above. Otherwise, you may be in a heap of trouble. What will you use for money when Obama hits the fan?

It is neither too late nor too early to think about items of barter and exchange that might be widely in demand under an Obama hyper-inflationary reich. Old-fashioned barter markets are likely to spring up in towns, cities, and neighborhoods of all sizes. What could you offer in such a market to keep your children and yourself clean, dry, warm, safe, and well-fed?

This is not a theoretical discussion. Obama is doing his part to bring on this scenario. Now you must think about what you need to do about it.

More interesting thoughts here and here. Update: A look at Obama's tax pains.

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A Brave New World of Custom Brain Augments

How do you want your brain customised? With a brain-machine interface? With genetic treatments? With smart drugs? With implanted nano-circuits? Or with stem cell colony implants ready to repair any damage or deficit?

All of those modifications are on the doorstep, ringing the front bell. The world's neuroscientists and philosophers are finally taking this reality seriously. A group of interested persons met in Berlin recently to discuss the implications of the brave new brain technologies.
The next stage of brainpower enhancement could be technological - through genetic engineering or brain prostheses. Because the gene variants pivotal to intellectual brilliance have yet to be discovered, boosting brainpower by altering genes may still be some way off, or even impossible. Prostheses are much closer, especially as the technology for wiring brains into computers is already being tested (see "Dawn of the cyborgs"). Indeed, futurist and inventor Ray Kurzweil believes the time when humans merge with machines will arrive as early as 2045 (New Scientist, 9 May, p 26).

It won't be long before "clip-on" computer aids become available for everybody, says Andy Clark, a pro-enhancement philosopher at the University of Edinburgh in the UK. These could be anything from memory aids to the ability to "search" for information stored in your brain. "We'll get a flowering of brain augmentations, some seeping through from the disabled community," he says. "I see them becoming fashion items, a bit like choosing clothing." Clark says that even today, devices such as head-up displays on spectacles or simply being adept at using computer programs like Photoshop come close to being physical extensions of people's minds.

...There are, however, simple alternatives to technological enhancement that would achieve many of the same goals, says Dupré: education and child-rearing. Moreover, he thinks such changes can be heritable via epigenetics - the reprogramming of gene expression in offspring by exposure to cultural, maternal and environmental influences. Dupré points to a study in rats showing that good maternal care was passed on largely because it permanently altered gene activity in the brains of the pups. _NewScientist
There is a wide range of potential brain mod even without using invasive implants, stimulators, and genetic alterations. Humans have always had access to meditation techniques (including laughter) which may well build useful brain circuits. More recent developments such as neurofeedback expand the options for creative brain modification immensely. Combining brain machine interfaces with nano-implants, crafted meditative techniques, and neurofeedback offers some quite sophisticated possibilities for supercharging specific brain circuits.

Genetic modification (combined with creative stem cell therapies) is the long term goal, once the techniques are improved. The mainstream intent will be to provide a level playing field for all the world's people -- including those populations that seem stuck at average IQs around 70 to 80 points. These people have no hope of developing or maintaining a technological civilisation, and depend upon outsiders and market dominant minorities for their advanced goods and services.

Eventually, advanced germ cell line genetic brain augmentation techniques will be applied to persons who are already above average intelligence. Soon afterward, clear separations in group proficiencies will develop and begin to widen.

It is not likely that such separation will begin along racial lines, but rather along other affiliative lines such as professions or special interest groups. Societies whose more functional and accomplished members work well together regardless of race, ethnicity, or religion etc will probably be the most creative in terms of applying the new technologies.

If such quasi-elites -- by competencies -- have experienced enough societal shocks they are likely to jump beyond today's ethically queasy resistance to brain augmentation in the interest of survival. The threat of a new dark age brought on by incompetent world governments would be enough to focus even the most bleeding heart.

The horses are already out, and they are just now talking about closing the barn door. Someone take them some coffee.

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13 May 2009

More Vertical Farms

Cities have always been at the mercy of the countryside for food and raw materials. But what if cities could grow their own food, their own livestock, their own biomass, fuels, and fibres? Such a city-state might be a bit more sustainable through times of scarcity.
The City of Vancouver has ambitious plans to become the most sustainable city in the world. This spring they held the FormShift Vancouver Competition to develop and improve the city’s livability through greener, denser developments. The Harvest Green Tower received an honorable mention in the Primary category for a mixed use primary (arterial) site along a major Vancouver street that includes a rapid transit station. Their vertical farm concept is centered around sustainable food production as well as the creation of a multi-purpose space that can house, transport, feed and entertain people.

The tower consists of interlocking tubes that grow various fruits and vegetables, house chickens and contain an aquaponic fish farm. On top of the vertical growing tower is a rainwater cistern to collect and help water all the plants and animals. At the base of the tower is a livestock grazing plain, as well as a bird habitat and boutique sheep and goat dairy facility. Underneath that is a grocery store, farmer’s market and Harvest Tower Restaurant. Renewable energy is produced from rooftop mounted wind turbines and photovoltaic glazing on the building with the additional help of geothermal heat pumps and methane generation from composting. _ImpactLab

Eventually, a design team along with an innovative builder will get it right. Crops need sun, water, and nutrients to grow optimally. They must be protected from frost and other harsh conditions. But given the proper environment, even high latitude cities should be able to grow abundant crops year round. Energy costs will be higher than on a rural farm, but transportation and storage costs should be less.

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Our B.O. In the White House -- What a Comfort

Image Source
Obama required just one year's budget to out-deficit his predecessor's entire eight years of deficits. Looking into the future, we see deficit spending into the trillions as far as the eye can see.

As Social Security, Medicare, and other perpetually escalating systems of entitlements and government pensions suck the US taxpayer dry and deplete the credit system of the US and the world, Obama's promises to do anything but destroy the US economy are looking completely incredible.

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Focus and Drift: A Secret Path to Brain Power?

Image Source: Magic Trance

"Generate and test" is the secret to prolific creativity for both humans and nature (natural selection). Another powerful pairing may be "focus and drift", for building mental facility -- perhaps even brain matter. First, focus:
In the study, Luders and her colleagues examined 44 people — 22 control subjects and 22 who had practiced various forms of meditation, including Zazen, Samatha and Vipassana, among others. The amount of time they had practiced ranged from five to 46 years, with an average of 24 years.

More than half of all the meditators said that deep concentration was an essential part of their practice, and most meditated between 10 and 90 minutes every day.

The [UCLA] researchers used a high-resolution, three-dimensional form of MRI and two different approaches to measure differences in brain structure. One approach automatically divides the brain into several regions of interest, allowing researchers to compare the size of certain brain structures. The other segments the brain into different tissue types, allowing researchers to compare the amount of gray matter within specific regions of the brain.

....The researchers found significantly larger cerebral measurements in meditators compared with controls, including larger volumes of the right hippocampus and increased gray matter in the right orbito-frontal cortex, the right thalamus and the left inferior temporal lobe. There were no regions where controls had significantly larger volumes or more gray matter than meditators. _PO
The discipline of meditation provides the brain with more "staying power" when confronting a problem, situation, or challenge. That is focus. Now, drift:
“Mind wandering is typically associated with negative things like laziness or inattentiveness. But this study shows our brains are very active when we daydream – much more active than when we focus on routine tasks,” Christoff, who has also been the lead author of the study, says. The experts used an observation technique known as functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) for their study. This machine has the ability to show brain areas basically “lighting up” or “turning off,” depending on whether they are active or dormant. In addition, it allows for almost real-time observations on a test subject's brain.

As a reference point, the researchers employed readings recorded while the patients sat in the fMRI machine, and pushed a button when numbers appeared on a screen. Their brain activities were monitored second after second, and stored for comparison.....Christoff says that daydreaming, a contemplative state in which the brain wonders, occupies about one third of every individual's life, and, as such, merits more investigation.

For example, the study has revealed that the “executive network” in our brains, usually dealing with high-level, complex problem-solving, is also highly active in daydreaming. This network consists of the lateral prefrontal cortex (PFC) and the dorsal anterior cingulate cortex. In addition to these regions, the wondering mind also activates the “default network,” which is made up of the medial PFC, the posterior cingulate cortex and the temporoparietal junction. The later network has been thus far believed to be the only segment of the brain active during daydreaming. _Softpedia
Competence in using the "focus and drift" cycle can provide a greater potential for problem-solving and creativity, in addition to a better ability to cope with routine challenges. There are many useful approaches to meditative focus. And quite a few methods have been developed to facilitate highly productive daydreaming "drift." Combinatorial sorting suggests an enormous range of potential "systems" for using focus and drift in a highly personal manner.

Be sure to remember to throw in a generous mix of exercise, creative play, good nutrition, and stimulating social interaction.

It may not be long before we develop "smart drugs" and smart therapies that are capable of building intelligence and executive powers to amazing levels. The humans who are already familiar with their mental and emotional powers will be best able to take advantage of an artificial boosting of intelligence and EF. Most people -- the academically lobotomised psychological neotenous narcissistic zomboids of our day -- will only grow more warped and dysfunctional. Technology can only accomplish so much, if humans lack wisdom in applying it.

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12 May 2009

Soothing A Distressed Brain: FGF2

Anxiety (40 million American adults) and depression (15 million American adults) are among the most common causes of disability and academic failure / underachievement worldwide. If one were to develop an effective, safe, and non-addictive treatment for anxiety and depression, the positive impact on the human world would be immense. University of Michigan researchers have studied the impact of FGF2 -- fibroblast growth factor 2 -- in 19 generations of rats that were bred selectively for high or low anxiety levels.
"We have discovered that FGF2 has two important new roles: it's a genetic vulnerability factor for anxiety and a mediator for how the environment affects different individuals. This is surprising, as FGF2 and related molecules are known primarily for organizing the brain during development and repairing it after injury," Perez said.

Finally, the findings suggest that part of FGF2's role in reducing anxiety may be due to its ability to increase the survival of new cells in a brain region called the hippocampus. Previous research has suggested that depression decreases the production and incorporation of new brain cells, a process called neurogenesis. Although the researchers found that high-anxiety rats produced the same number of new brain cells as low-anxiety rats, they found decreased survival of new brain cells in high-anxiety rats compared to low-anxiety rats. However, FGF2 treatment and environmental enrichment each restored brain cell survival. _Genengnews
Persons with chronic anxiety and depression may also have significant memory problems, perhaps due to reduced neurogenesis and reduced survival of new brain cells. Treatments that allow new cells to survive and function normally in the brain would logically help to normalise the life experience of persons with chronic anxiety and clinical depression, and reduce the enormous societal expense of these mental health disorders.

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Biohacking In Every High School Curriculum

Biohacking is growing in popularity among amateur bio-hobbyists, but government overseers of biological threats are concerned. The government is worried about dangerous organisms being created in basements, garages, and walk-in closets in ordinary neighborhoods -- perhaps your own. But should the same government efficiency that makes air travel such a pleasure, has totally eliminated drug and human smuggling across the border, and is currently destroying the private sector of the economy be applied to the close oversight of every closet, garage, and basement in America?
These hobbyists represent a growing strain of geekdom known as biohacking, in which do-it-yourselfers tinker with the building blocks of life in the comfort of their own homes. Some of them buy DNA online, then fiddle with it in hopes of curing diseases or finding new biofuels.

But are biohackers a threat to national security? ... biohackers argue that Mother Nature is more likely than any home hobbyist to create dangerous new pathogens. They cite the current A/H1N1 "swine flu" virus, which is a made-in-the-wild brew of human, bird and pig influenzas. Mackenzie Cowell, a founder of DIY Bio, says members aim to do good and are committed to working safely.

The movement has made big strides recently thanks to the commercial availability of synthetic DNA. This genetic material, normally found inside the nucleus of cells, can now easily be purchased online. That provides any amateur with the ingredients for constructing an organism....So far, most garage biologists playing around with synthetic DNA are simply adding a gene or two to an existing organism, a fairly standard scientific practice involving some test-tube mixing, and not something biosecurity experts are very worried about. But technology promises to allow the creation of entire organisms from scratch -- something academics are aiming to do in university labs -- and that has some experts worried. _WSJ
The government's instinct is to shut everything down that it conceives as the least threat. Far more rational, would be to train students from the earliest age in the science and safety of bio-research of all types.

The best answer to any kind of serious threat is an educated and informed public that has learned the competencies to respond effectively. Currently, government schools produce helpless incompetent sheep that must be protected and cared for at every turn. The pampering and coddling continues at every stage, so that instead of an informed and effective citizenry, the end result is a horde of confused, milling zombies capable of electing a government of smoothly deceptive clowns in hopes of being well taken care of.

Sorry, zombies, it doesn't work that way. Once the clowns are elected, they are obligated to do favours for their big money supporters. Trial lawyers, labour unions, billionaire bankers and speculators, eco-extremists.... And so it goes until it can't go any longer.

Al Fin is going on record in support of the training of children and youth to be truly competent across a wide range of skills -- some of them quite deadly. Make them smart, strong, and formidable. The ongoing experiment of turning children into lifelong pets isn't working out very well.

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The Economic Recovery That Wasn't

The continuing contraction in the world's two biggest markets, the United States and the European Union, does not promise well for emergent countries hoping for export-led growth. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said the GDP of Japan will shrink by 6.3 percent this year. It said GDP in Germany will contract by 5.3 percent and in United Kingdom by 3.7 percent while GDP in the United States drops by 4 percent._Walker
Obama is presiding over a job-loss rate of 8 million per year. Unemployment is growing across Europe and large regions of North America. The US government is pumping deficit spending into the economy faster than it can be reasonably incorporated, and still there are few credible signs of a sustainable recovery. Part of the problem is that the toxic debt that triggered the problem is still out there -- and Obama / Pelosi are determined to generate as much toxic debt as they can.
The first fear is that the economy will slide again next year when the deficit spending runs out. The question is whether the world's governments have the political will to continue the deficit spending and whether the world's bond markets will buy the flood of government debt that is being auctioned -- and at what price. Last week, the U.S. Treasury had to boost its interest rate to 3.3 percent to sell $14 billion of 10-year bonds.

The second reason to question whether the recovery will last is China, where the official figures showing growth at a rate of 6.1 percent in the first three months of this year are looking more and more suspect. Electricity output declined in the same period by almost 6 percent, so analysts question how China can grow without power, particularly when government spending is going into the power-hungry construction industry.

But the biggest reason to fear that this recovery may not be sustainable is that the world's financial system has not yet been fixed. The banks are still in deep trouble. The International Monetary Fund reported this month that a total of $4.1 trillion will have to be written off by the world's banks, and so far they have written off barely a quarter of that. The United States is in slightly better shape. Its banks have written off half of their losses, but Europe's banks have so far written off less than 20 percent of theirs. _Walker
Obama and his zombie government army of sycophants are behaving much like Louis and Marie, shortly before the guillotine was put to use. Although "the divine right of kings" was never meant to apply to US presidents, a lot of things have grown rather twisted under the short -- and so far tragically suicidal -- Obama reich.

Things could have never grown so bad without media complicity. When the day of accounting comes for the rampant incompetence and destructiveness, the media deserves its full share of scrutiny and judgment.

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11 May 2009

Limits to Growth

Brian Wang points to a J Storrs Hall piece on the new popularity of the failed 1970s computer predictions in The Limits to Growth PDF.

The 1970s were rife with leftist eco-doomseekers, predicting the imminent downfall of civilisation from DDT, pollution, the depletion of oil and mineral resources, and so forth. Sound familiar? We are being treated to tired old re-runs of the same old ecopocalypse. Peak oil, climate catastrophe, the collapse of a global economy that can only be saved by extreme socialist measures. We've heard it all before, but perhaps never in such strident voices from every direction.

The leftist apoca-cacophony, full of sound and fury but without signifier, is important for one reason: it is the propaganda vehicle for the takeover of the private economy by governments. What is yours is now theirs. To protest the new order is to be levied with fines and soon jail terms. All power (and capital) to the government now.

Limits to growth is a self-fulfilling prophecy -- if the message of eco-doom is believed. But only private, personal growth is limited. Government growth is essentially unlimited, as long as the host citizenry remains placid and compliant. It is up to the propaganda apparatus to keep the people compliant, ignorant to the true state of affairs.

You cannot ride this wave in an ignorant state. You must inform yourself, and make yourself competent in ever way you can. You are being teamed by the most sophisticated mind-focque apparatus ever seen -- more sophisticated than the USSR's propaganda machine by far. Because this assemblage of mind twisters evolved in a semi-regulated environment it had to be tough and somewhat comprehensive.

Most of the people you know were academically lobotomised, psychologically neotenised, and otherwise made incompetent to distinguish fact from fiction, logic from fallacy. You cannot afford that mental flabbiness any longer. Wake up, or go back to sleep and fuggedaboudet.

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10 May 2009

A Time for Rape: Blonde Swedish Vixens Seduce Innocent Gangs of Muslim Youth To Rape

“It is not as wrong raping a Swedish girl as raping an Arab girl,” says Hamid, in an interview about a gang rape involving a Swedish girl and immigrant perps. “The Swedish girl gets a lot of help afterwards, and she had probably f**ked before, anyway. But the Arab girl will get problems with her family. For her, being raped is a source of shame. It is important that she retains her virginity… It is far too easy to get a Swedish whore… girl, I mean;” says Hamid, and laughs over his own choice of words. “I don’t have too much respect for Swedish girls. I guess you can say they get f**ked to pieces.” _GOV
It is difficult being a young Muslim male, growing up in a pagan society such as Sweden.The blonde girls, they are just asking for it with the way they dress and the way their blonde hair blows in the wind.
In March 2007 during a rally supported by SSU, the Social Democratic Youth League, a man carried a sign reading, “While Swedish girls are being gang raped by immigrant gangs the SSU is fighting racism.” He was promptly arrested and later sentenced to a fine because he “expressed disrespect for a group of people with reference to their national or ethnic background.” The local court rejected the man’s free speech argument because even free speech has its limits, and he had clearly acted in a too provocative manner.
_Fjordman
It is a shame that some people use the high incidence of rape in Sweden to attack innocent gangs of immigrants. How fortunate that the SSU is their, to protect the rights of young Muslim males against the forces of pagan strangeness and immorality.

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What Trillions? It Ain't Money, It's Just Paper

Obama is rejecting the failed policies of the past in order to ..... accelerate the failed policies of the past even more. If one bubble burst, clearly what is needed is a bigger bubble that takes even longer to burst. We obviously need to invest -- in a bigger printing press!
As usual, the politicians have other ideas: bail everyone out, try to reinflate the bubble, squander more resources on arbitrary projects, reward borrowing and debt, and create lots of new money. Every one of these measures props up bubble activities and undermines genuine wealth-generating activities. The bailouts allocate capital away from the prudent and competent and toward the imprudent and incompetent, from the wealth creators to the wealth destroyers. The "fiscal stimulus" fritters away scarce resources on money-losing (that is, value-destroying) projects. Making debt more attractive encourages more of the behavior that brought us to this unhappy impasse, thereby guaranteeing a worse bust in the future. Printing up new money does not magically create new real resources in the economy. It merely redistributes the existing pool of resources into a configuration that does not correspond to real consumer demand. It diverts resources into artificial activities with which genuinely wealth-generating activities are then forced to compete. _Source

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(Virtual) Schools for Learning (for a Change)

Something exciting is happening in education. Virtual schools, home school coops, virtual charters, and other ingenious ideas have cropped up to sneak learning back into education.
Last fall, more than 140 of the state’s 426 school districts used Wisconsin’s Web Academy to provide online learning to more than 800 students in grades six through 12, according to the state Department of Public Instruction.

The Madison School District offers about 100 high school level online courses, and its Madison Virtual Campus started in 2005. Most students use the courses to supplement the regular school day, said Kelly Pochop, Madison’s online learning facilitator.

Some states, such as Michigan, even mandate students take an online course before graduating high school. “If districts aren’t currently offering online courses, they’re studying ways to provide (them),” said Brian Busler, Oregon’s superintendent. Online classes, whether at the university or elementary level “have just exploded over the last several years.”

....Officials say one reason Oregon is moving toward online classes is to compete with a virtual charter school opening as part of the McFarland School District, about 12 miles away.....

....While the physical location of an online school often doesn’t matter, having one nearby makes it easier for students to travel to take standardized tests, attend field trips or interact with teachers. _WisconsinStateJournal_via_News Alert
Over more than a century, Americans have been sold a factory model of education. Mass production, mass indoctrination "education" tries to engineer minds in the grand blank slate tradition of BF Skinner. The end result is students who are not ready for college or the workplace -- the slow motion collapse of a nation's human capital infrastructure. Psychologically neotenised, academicall lobotomised narcissistic incompetents, who have finally taken over the highest levels of the US government.

Will it be possible to work around the "lost generations", and work to help children learn for themselves, to think for themselves, to become competent, thoughtful, responsible and effective humans? A novel idea. Let's form a committee to study it. Put the best minds at the university schools of education to work on it. Float the concept at the next union meeting. Best of all, get the government working on it. Yep, that ought to do it.

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09 May 2009

Is Climate Change "Consensus" A Soiled Diaper?

Source: WattsUpWithThat?
The climate change "consensus" is beginning to stink like a rotten corpse or a days-soiled diaper. As world-respected climate scientist Mike Hulme states:
"If, say, Jim Hansen or Fred Singer and I sat down and looked at the same scientific evidence, we would come up with a very different set of proscriptions. Now, why is that? Is it because our scientific training is deficient, and he's seeing more than I'm seeing, or I'm seeing more than he's seeing? I don't think it is. I think actually there's a lot of stuff that's going on here. And that's actually what we have to get down to - to root out, and expose, accept, and work within these broader, deeper sources of disagreement."

"To hide behind the dubious precision of scientific numbers, and not actually expose one’s own ideologies or beliefs or values and judgements is undermining both politics and science", says Hulme.

...It’s not hard to get labelled a climate change “denier”. You don’t even have to deny that climate change is real, man-made and a problem. As Bjørn Lomborg, climatologist Patrick Michaels and political scientist Professor Roger Pielke Jr (http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/) have discovered, you merely have to challenge the orthodox political policy responses.Or, like Climate Audit (http://www.climateaudit.org/)’s Steve McIntyre, dare to scrutinise the statistical workings behind influential climate research papers. If you stray from agreeing with the political prescription, you're an immoral person. _Register
The climate change political movement has become a religious orthodoxy -- a religion substitute and opiate for the masses. The climate religion has its own demon: "man-made carbon dioxide". It has its own prophets: Jimmy Hansen, Al Gore, Barakie come lately Obama . . . And it has its own grand inquisition gallery of knaves and excommunicators.

But the "consensus" is already past its prime, and growing more rotted by the day. The graph above shows the eerie resemblance between our current solar minimum, and the Maunder et Dalton minimums of the 1600s, 1700s and 1800s. Climate models failed dismally to anticipate that development.

The graph below illustrates recent global cooling -- as manifested by the best monitor of Earth's heat content, the oceans.
Source: WattsupWithThat?
If the oceans are losing heat, there is no way in hell that the Earth is warming.

Modern academically lobotomised psychological neotenates either never learned to use their own brains, or were programmed in schools and university to defer judgment to someone else. Every generation of indoctrination leads them to be less like humans, and more like sheepish naked monkeys. The foul and reeking climate change "consensus" religion is only one of the many syndromes afflicting humans who refuse to think for themselves. The current suicidal US government is another. American voters rather slouched and shucked their way into the abyss. In that sense, they earned their misery.

Sadly, those who didn't join the lemmings' rush find themselves in the same sinkhole.

What will it take to grow a quorum of humans capable of thinking for themselves, who can reasonable plot a workable course to a better future? The longer the Obama / Pelosi reich continues its destructive reign, the farther into the future the goal would seem to recede.

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08 May 2009

Blame Bush for Housing Bubble? Not Smart

Blaming Bush for everything that is wrong with the world is becoming an entertaining habit for those with nothing important to do. The rest of us are starting to understand that many of the critical problems we are forced to deal with had their origins long before Bush. By focusing on Bush, people are distracted from the far greater destruction being committed right under their noses.
In December, the New York Times published a 5,100-word article charging that the Bush administration’s housing policies had “stoked” the foreclosure crisis—and thus the financial meltdown. By pushing for lax lending standards, encouraging government enterprises to make mortgages more available, and leaning on private lenders to come up with innovative ways to lend to ever more Americans—using “the mighty muscle of the federal government,” as the president himself put it—Bush had lured millions of people into bad mortgages that they ultimately couldn’t afford, the Times said.

Yet almost everything that the Times accused the Bush administration of doing has been pursued many times by earlier administrations, both Democratic and Republican—and often with calamitous results. The Times’s analysis exemplified our collective amnesia about Washington’s repeated attempts to expand homeownership and the disasters they’ve caused. The ideal of homeownership has become so sacrosanct, it seems, that we never learn from these disasters. Instead, we clean them up and then—as if under some strange compulsion—set in motion the mechanisms of the next housing catastrophe.

And that’s exactly what we’re doing once again. As Washington grapples with the current mortgage crisis, advocates from both parties are already warning the feds not to relax their commitment to expanding homeownership—even if that means reviving the very kinds of programs and institutions that got us into trouble. Not even the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression can cure us of our obsessive housing disorder. _CityJournal
Unlikely bedfellows from Krugman to Sailer to Kos push at their restraints to blame Bush for long lists of mis-steps and contretemps of which other presidents -- including the current one -- are far more guilty. And the Democratic Congress? The Congressional wrecking ball gets a free pass from the chattering class. People are distracted by the blame game, and don't notice that the Obama /Pelosi reich is pumping up the bubble once again.

Will you stop blaming Bush long enough to notice that you are being set up for yet another round of "you've just been had?" Probably not, as long as the chatterers and wankers keep the blame game going at full volume. But watch your back. While being entertained by the wanksters, you are about to be buggered from behind without even the courtesy of KY jelly.

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07 May 2009

Home Ownership Bubble Timeline

Image Source
The Community Reinvestment Act was instituted under President Carter in the 1970s, but it was not until President Clinton in the 1990s that it was put on steroids. The drive under Clinton and the Democrats in Congress to push unqualified borrowers into home mortgages they couldn't afford was the rotten seed.

By the time President Bush realised that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were out of control, powerful Democratic Party controlled interest in the Congress -- including Barnie Frank and Maxine Waters -- blocked meaningful reform. By the time the toxic debt had leveraged itself into a gigantic snowballing avalanche in late 2007 and early 2008, it was too late for anyone to save the financial markets -- not that anyone in government was trying very hard. A slow motion disaster, courtesy of certain politicians whose names must not be spoken.

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Geopolitical Miscellany

China's central bank, The People's Bank of China, is warning that the country's economic recovery is not yet on a solid foundation.

Meanwhile, China continues to poison the world through contamination of the atmospheres and the oceans.

Russia's corrupt state-run energy company Gazprom is being forced to raise domestic energy rates. The Russian people are already unhappy over their economic nightmare, and may not take kindly to these rate hikes.

Hugo Chavez is back to his old tricks of stealing private assets to finance his failing revolution in Venezuela. No doubt you will pay "fair market value" for these private assets, at least as you see it -- eh, Hugo, mi amigo?

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06 May 2009

Too Stupid to Know That Someone Is Trying to Kill You

Just like the Carr brothers in the Wichita massacre, the May 4 2009 home invaders of College Park near Atlanta planned to kill everyone in the apartment at the birthday party -- after raping the women.
Bailey said he thought it was the end of his life and the lives of the 10 people inside his apartment for a birthday party after two masked men with guns burst in through a patio door.

“They just came in and separated the men from the women and said, ‘Give me your wallets and cell phones,’” said George Williams of the College Park Police Department.

Bailey said the gunmen started counting bullets. “The other guy asked how many (bullets) he had. He said he had enough,” said Bailey.

That’s when one student grabbed a gun out of a backpack and shot at the invader who was watching the men. The gunman ran out of the apartment.

The student then ran to the room where the second gunman, identified by police as 23-year-old Calvin Lavant, was holding the women.

“Apparently the guy was getting ready to rape his girlfriend. So he told the girls to get down and he started shooting. The guy jumped out of the window,” said Bailey. _WSBTV
All ten of the party-goers would likely be dead now, and police would have few leads to the killings which might never have been solved. Instead, a citizen took his own self-defense seriously, and acted for himself and his friends.

More here

More on the Wichita Massacre and a similar Knoxville Horror

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Brain Implants a Gentler Form of Electroshock

Results of a recent Harvard study using brain implants to treat medication resistant depression were reported to a conference of American neurosurgeons in San Diego yesterday.
"Imaging and transcranial magnetic stimulation studies have demonstrated that the left dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC) area of the brain plays a critical role in patients with major depressive disorder (MDD). These findings prompted research in which we used an investigational epidural cortical stimulation system to deliver targeted stimulation to the left DLPFC in 12 patients with MDD," stated Dr. Eskandar.

The 12 patients were randomized to single blind active or sham stimulation for 8 weeks, and then all subjects received active stimulation. One patient was excluded from analysis due to a protocol deviation. During the procedure, the electrodes were placed epidurally, outside the dura, through a small craniotomy. Outcome assessments included the Montgomery-Asberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS), the Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HDRS), and the Global Assessment of Functioning (GAF). _MNT
This form of brain stimulation is more invasive than strong external electroshock (electroconvulsive ECT), but involves a much gentler electrical stimulation. Results from the study are encouraging:
-- In all patients, continued improvement was seen at 6 months (average HDRS: 20 percent) and 12 months (average HDRS: 33 percent).

-- At 12 months, patients whose electrodes were implanted >20 mm from the precentral sulcus averaged a 59 percent improvement in HDRS compared to a 12 percent improvement in patients (n=6) with electrodes <20mm _MNT
This study involves fairly timid electrode placement -- outside the dura, over the left dorsolateral prefrontal cortex. Such locations are quite safe, since by avoiding direct brain contact, neural scarring should be completely avoidable. In other words, the procedure should indeed be completely reversible -- unlike ECT and unlike many types of deep brain electrode placement.

An extension of this technique to allow simultaneous stimulation and inhibition of multiple areas of cortex should be the next step -- after confirming the result with larger numbers of medication-resistant depressed patients.

The extradural placement of the electrodes should also allow for creative "sheet-electrode" designs. This is where biocompatible materials and conductive polymers will earn their salt.

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05 May 2009

As Nation States Fall, and City States Rise , What of the Micro - Nation?

Today, just 40 city-regions account for two thirds of the world economy and 90 percent of its innovation. The mighty Hanseatic League, a constellation of well-armed North and Baltic Sea trading hubs in the late Middle Ages, will be reborn as cities such as Hamburg and Dubai form commercial alliances and operate “free zones” across Africa like the ones Dubai Ports World is building. Add in sovereign wealth funds and private military contractors, and you have the agile geopolitical units of a neomedieval world. _ForeignPolicy_via_LATNB
The new blog: "Let a Thousand Nations Bloom" is dedicated to the idea of the micronation. One form of micronation that is already familiar to Al Fin readers is the seastead. But micronations could occur in other forms such as sea-floor habitats, polar colonies, artificial islands, orbiting colonies, perpetually floating or flying atmospheric colonies, and so on. Most of the desirable real estate on Earth may be taken, but imaginative and creative persons can often take the undesirable and make it desirable. But can they protect it once it is made valuable?

The current issue of the WFS Futurist magazine looks at the issue here and here (via LATNB). A more comprehensive look at the issue can be found at seasteading.org.

For several convergent reasons, many nation states are in danger of collapsing. Nation states within tribal lands were often poorly conceived at the start, and increasingly expensive to maintain. Without massive aid from the developed world, many third world quasi-tribal nations would have long since collapsed.

Other nations in the developed world are in danger of collapse from demographic implosion: the failure to breed. Nations such as Germany and Japan that were under such a compulsion in the 1930s to expand at the cost of world war, are now finding themselves shrinking every year. The same story can be told in Spain, Italy, Greece, Eastern Europe -- and especially Russia. Demographic collapse, at varying rates. The transformation from one type of world to the other is apt to be tumultuous.

The election of Barak Obama in the US may well prove to be the catalyst in this transformation. As the economic, military, and moral standing of the US steadily falls, the subsequent vacuum will be felt worldwide. The threads of the world fabric may unravel far more quickly than anyone believed possible, without the strong moderating presence of a world hegemon with America's pedigree. A world that has China as its hegemon would be a far different world than the one we know.

Power and importance will be relegated to the region and city-state, over the nation state, as central governments face the limits of government action head on.

It is important not to dwell on the incompetence of the Obamas and the Putins overly much, although they seem to have the talent for doing almost everything exactly wrong. The key focus should be on mitigation, and on laying the foundations for better prospects in the intermediate term. That can only be done with a realistic assessment of the current situation. Such an assessment must swing wide of most conventional wisdom, and consider the unthinkable.

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Pin-Point Precision: Nano-Cell Biology

These new gold-plated boron nitride nanotube - nanoneedles from the University of Illinois are a good example of technology convergence. The ability to discover the intimate workings between cell and molecular biology have never been as strong, thanks to the use of these special nano-biotechnological devices. Here is how it works:
To create a nanoneedle, the researchers begin with a rigid but resilient boron-nitride nanotube. The nanotube is then attached to one end of a glass pipette for easy handling, and coated with a thin layer of gold. Molecular cargo is then attached to the gold surface via “linker” molecules. When placed in a cell’s cytoplasm or nucleus, the bonds with the linker molecules break, freeing the cargo.
With a diameter of approximately 50 nanometers, the nanoneedle introduces minimal intrusiveness in penetrating cell membranes and accessing the interiors of live cells.

The delivery process can be precisely controlled, monitored and recorded – goals that have not been achieved in prior studies. “The nanoneedle provides a mechanism by which we can quantitatively examine biological processes occurring within a cell’s nucleus or cytoplasm,” said Yang Xiang, a professor of molecular and integrative physiology and a co-author of the paper. “By studying how individual proteins and molecules of DNA or RNA mobilize, we can better understand how the system functions as a whole.” _Nanowerk
Extremely cool tool. The possibilities are beyond current comprehension. These techniques will no doubt be used in induced stem cell studies, and in all kinds of differentiation - dedifferentiation studies. And that is only the beginning.

The dream is consilience -- the unified study of knowledge in real time. This type of tool allows for one small part of the dream.

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The Perils of Trusting Chinese Growth Figures

With the dismal 2009 economic performance of the US and Europe thus far, everyone seems to be looking at China for a global economic boost. How far can you trust China's claims for 6.1% first quarter growth? No further than you can throw them, like all Chinese government claims. But where can you look for a deeper understanding of what may be going on behind the bamboo curtain? Here is one possible answer:
Welcome to China's growth puzzle. China's claim of 6.1 percent annualized gross domestic product growth in the first quarter is very difficult to reconcile with the electricity output figures from the China Electricity Council, the Southern Power Grid Co. and the Coal Council, each of which gives slightly different figures, though the overall trends are very similar.

The China Coal Council breaks down industrial and domestic consumption and suggests that domestic electricity consumption fell by 5.2 percent in the first quarter but that industrial consumption fell by 8.38 percent. These are striking falls, particularly when compared with national electricity-consumption growth rates of 14.8 percent in 2007 and 5.2 percent for the whole of 2008.

The issue of China's energy use is important because China's recovery is the first hopeful sign that the world is starting to haul itself out of the Great Recession, the most promising of the "green shoots" detected by U.S. President Barack Obama and other optimistic assessments. _Walker
China's official state pronouncements have never been trustworthy. To understand the true picture of China's economy requires a great deal of sleuthing for information. Government spending does not necessarily go toward meaningful or sustainable growth, as Americans are learning from the corrupt Obama / Pelosi reich. China is no less corrupt than the current US kleptocracy, and even more secretive and dishonest (if you can believe it).

With much of the world sinking into the destructive quagmire of "cap and trade", "carbon taxes", and hyper-regulatory energy starvation, it seems to be up to China and India to provide much of the world's energy-intensive dirty work. But if there is no global demand for China's production, all the government spending on Potemkin production will not mean a thing in terms of global recovery.

China's prosperity reflects a global prosperity -- at least it has up until now. The relationship has never worked in the reverse direction. Before we can believe that China has its act together well enough to perform as the world's economic spark plug, we will need more than government pronouncements.

Update 6May2009: More on industrial and energy reductions in China

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04 May 2009

In World Demographics Timing is Everything

Image from La Griffe du Lion
Despite their many uncertainties, demographic projections have become an essential tool. Governments, international agencies, and private corporations depend on them in planning strategy and making ­long-­term investments. They seek to estimate such things as the number of pensioners, the cost of health care, and the size of the labor force many years into the future. But the detailed statistical work of demographers tends to seep out to the general public in crude form, and sensationalist headlines [and sometimes wishful thinking _AF] soon become common ­wisdom. _WilsonQuarterly
"The World's New Numbers" by Martin Walker is an ambitious article-length look at the coming world demographics of the 21st century. Part fact and part wishful thinking, it is nonetheless worth a look for anyone who wants to know how the world's changing demographics will affect the balance of power -- and thus the future of humankind.

It is important for the interested onlooker to understand that populations trends -- like weather forecases -- are only informed guesses. When political entities [such as the UN] get involved in predicting populations and climates, the credibility of the predictions falls precipitously. Take this bit of political wishful thinking:
The decline of Muslim birthrates is a global phenomenon. Most analysts have focused on the remarkably high proportion of people under age 25 in the Arab countries, which has inspired some crude forecasts about what this implies for the future. Yet recent UN data suggest that Arab birthrates are falling fast, and that the number of births among women under the age of 20 is dropping even more sharply. Only two Arab countries still have high fertility rates: Yemen and the Palestinian ­territories. _WQ
Anyone with an understanding of human population dynamics knows enough not to bet against the urge of youngsters to mate, and procreate. If a country does indeed have a high proportion of young people under the age of 25, predicting a steady drop in fertility rates for the foreseeable future is an exercise in self-blinding. An interesting visual rendering of a country's age distribution is its population pyramid. A bottom-heavy (more young people) population pyramid points toward a higher fertility rate than a top-heavy (more old people) population pyramid, as a rule of thumb.

Whatever the underlying reasons for the apparent trends on demographics for any specific country, those reasons are subject to change at very short notice. Extreme affluence or extreme poverty can both suppress fertility. Most of the world's peoples live well within the extremes, and might well experience upward and/or downward movement multiple times within a lifespan. Such fluctuations in well-being may appear insignificant to a distant observer, but make all the difference in the world in a person's fertility plans.

It is with the ongoing demographic transformation of Europe, that the author of the WQ piece appears to exercise the greatest amount of denial and wishful thinking.
Defying predictions of demographic decline, northern Europeans have started having more babies. Britain and France are now projecting steady population growth through the middle of the century. _WQ
The author admits that a sizeable (eg 80% or more for the US) amount of increase in fertility is due to immigration, but almost immediately denies that immigration is the main cause of Europe's "quasi-increase." If 30% of the increase in Western Europe's fertility is due to immigrants from Eastern Europe, it is likely that at least 50% is due to Muslim immigrants who originate within far more fecund populations than those of Eastern Europe.

Anyone who claims that European women are increasing their fertility in any meaningful way, must account for the ever higher proportion of Muslims in the labour and delivery wards of Europe, in the schools of Europe, and every other institution catering to the young and very young. Certainly the population pyramid of Muslims in Europe looks considerably different than the population pyramid of indigenous Europeans. Why all the denial?

In terms of IQ transformation, the average European IQ is 100, compared with an average middle eastern population IQ of 85, and an average Sub-Saharan African IQ of 70 to 75. Certainly the brainpower portion of Europe's human capital is undergoing a significant change. Far fewer scientists, engineers, architects, physicians, dentists, or patent attorneys to be sure, even taking into account the ongoing brain drain from the third world.

The only populations that will be able to drive the future, will be the populations with a high enough "smart fraction" to field the majour league players in the intellectual disciplines. It is uncertain how well Europe will be able to hold up under the onslaught of third world bodies.

In world demographics, timing is everything. The west shut down its baby-making apparatus a full generation or two before the emerging world. And the emerging world is a generation or two ahead of the third world on that score. It is no good taking comfort from a trend that is happening too late to save you.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst.

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Exxon vs. Gazprom: What Does it Mean?

When comparing Russia with the United States, sometimes it helps to look at a specific sector of the economies. Taking Russia's strongest sector -- energy -- and comparing Gazprom with the US' strongest energy company -- Exxon -- might be instructive.
Exxon posted a record profit of $45 billion in 2008. Its fourth-quarter results were down because of falling prices for crude oil, but just 33%, and it rose to the top of Fortune 500 for the year. And Gazprom? Russia’s entry in the competition, a monopoly run by the Russian government itself, saw its profts fall by a whopping, truly breathtaking 84% in the fourth quarter of last year. Its total profits for the year were less than $30 billion, one third less that of Exxon Mobile, a single private American firm, and well below the market’s expectations.

This pure domination continues in the wider economic picture:

The world learned last week, for instance, that Russia’s GDP shrank 9.5% in the first quarter of 2009, even more than the 7% that that the Kremlin had originally reported. Here again, Russia’s performance was one-third worse than America’s. The U.S. economy shrank just 6% in the first quarter. The World Bank puts the value of Russia’s GDP at $1.3 trillion. The U.S. GDP is ten times larger, at $13.8 trillion. The difference, of course, is expanding rapidly as the Russian economy contracts much more dramatically.

Russia has only five companies on the list of the world’s 500 largest, a pathetic 1% of the total that must be shocking for those who imagine Russia to be an economic titan and “energy superpower.” Not one of Russia’s companies has revenues in excess of $100 billion. America has 153 companies on the list, nearly one-third of the total, thirty times more than Russia. Fifteen of the American firms have revenues in excess of $100 billion. McKesson, the smallest of the 15, has significantly more revenues than Gazprom, which is the largest of Russia’s enterprises.

Russia has just 32 billionaires, none worth as much as $10 billion. America has twenty times that number, twenty of whom have more than $10 billion in net worth.

We could go on, and on. By any standard, America and Russia are in two entirely different universes of economic power, and that of course translates into wholly incomparable levels of military power and living standards. Americans are #30/191 nations when ranked for lifespan, Russians are a miserable #128/191. _LaRussophobe
The long term prospects for the US -- once Obama and his army of mindless zombies are properly disposed of -- are sunny and warm. The long term prospects for Russia, on the other hand, are dismal at best. Russia's sky-high death rates combined with her low-low birth rates tell the tale of a nation that is not long for this Earth.

When the technological breakthroughs that allow a widespread passage through the singularity into the next level occur, the US population will be one of the best positioned nations on Earth to take advantage of the opportunity. It is not certain that Russia will even exist by then.

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Albany University Officials Guilty of Cover-Up of Academic Fraud by Climate Researcher?

Academics have been properly thrown in prison for doing the same thing the Albany University researcher is accused of having done.
Professor Wei-Chyung Wang is a star scientist in the Atmospheric Sciences Research Center at the University at Albany, New York. He is a key player in the climate change debate (see his self-description here). Wang has been accused of scientific fraud.

...The case is also of interest because it provides yet another example of how *not* to create trust in a scientific misconduct investigation. It adds to the litany of cases suggesting that Universities cannot be allowed to investigate misconduct of their own star academics. The University response has so far been incoherent on its face.

Doug Keenan, the mathematician who raised the case of Wang.....maintains that “almost by itself, the withholding of their raw data by [climate] scientists tells us that they are not scientists”. _ScientificMisconduct_via_Wattsupwiththat_via_BennyPeiserCCNet
The full summary of the case is too long to include here, but go to Watts Up With That for more specific information. If you are currently naive to the widespread fraud within the "climate science" community, you are in for a big surprise.

Unfortunately, several prominent climate researchers are guilty of the same type of fraud and misconduct as alleged above. The best place to read about these dishonest "researchers" is at Climate Audit blog.

For an academic institution such as Albany University to apparently cover-up scientific fraud and misconduct intentionally, is a sad commentary on the state of American academia. And yet, significant evidence points to the widespread occurrence of such coverups within not only academia, but also within scientific journals (Nature, Science, etc.).

Under these circumstances, it is most unlikely that the underlying science regarding climate will receive a fair hearing in the halls of academia, the halls of government, or within the media.

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03 May 2009

Cycles Within Cycles: The Unquiet Climate

It is folly to talk about "climate change" when the climate is always changing and chaotic. Further, it is folly to claim that "the science is in" or "the debate is settled" when in fact the science has barely begun to come in, and the debate is but in the earliest stages.
Dr Akasofu, experienced analyst with the International Arctic Research Center, points out that the temperature have been rising steadily at a trend rate of 0.5°C per century since the end of the little ice age in the 1700s (when the Thames River would freeze over every winter; it last froze over in 1804). On top of the trend are oscillations that last about thirty years in each direction:

1882 – 1910 Cooling
1910 – 1944 Warming
1944 – 1975 Cooling
1975 – 2001 Warming

The green arrow in Figure 1 points to the situation today with temperature leveling off. The pattern suggests that the world has entered a period of slight cooling until about 2030, obviously quite bearish for temperatures in the medium term. Though not so for the carbon-credit market itself, since that appears to move completely independently of the climate.

....The IPCC is strongly supported by government funding, scientists in the media, famous ex-politicians, celebrities, multiple scientific committees, and Leonardo DiCaprio. Normally this would be an exceptionally persuasive mix, but the ability of large bureaucracies to influence planetary cycles has a poor track record. Now that the bull market trend of the late 1990s has clearly been broken, bearish analysts like Dr Akasofu have been gaining more respect. _JoNova_via_ImpactLab
Trust the Obama / Pelosi / Boxer reich to attempt to completely overturn the US economy on the basis of "climate change". Trust the arrogant unthinking fools to strip the country of its ability to provide vital energy and power to homes, industries, and commercial enterprises. Trust them to bring about destructive change, built upon ignorance and deception. They possess nothing else.

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Obama Officially Owns This Depression

Whether President Obama-prompter makes you sleepy, skeptical, bored, or scared, you should be aware that the man is now in charge -- and therefore responsible for what happens. The Obama Depression itself is aptly named, since it is the threat of an Obama presidency that foreshadowed the OD as early as August or September of 2008, and the reality of the Obama election and subsequent presidency that finally set the drop into depression from November 2008 into the indefinite future.

Economists are wondering why members of the public at large do not seem more concerned about their economic future than they do.
A review of prominent events in the depression scares of 1974-75 and 1978-82 suggests that they stemmed at least in part from a sense that inflation was dangerously out of control. During both periods, inflation moved into the double-digit range. There was widespread concern that the Federal Reserve had no good options and might need to plunge the economy into a depression to control inflation.

And in these two periods, energy crises — the first and second “oil shocks” — contributed to the negative outlook....Now that oil prices have moderated, it’s possible that most people have less vivid worries than they did in 1974-75 or 1979-82 because their economic problems are not evident every time they shop or drive their cars.

During those earlier two scares, out-of-control inflation was widely visible, but today many people haven’t personally experienced rising unemployment and foreclosures. And it’s possible that the optimistic tone of the president and the Fed has assuaged some fears, and that people might believe that the government is fixing their problems. _NYT
Imagine the current cascading failure of banks, businesses, and building trades combined with doubled or tripled gasoline prices plus widespread inflation as was seen under President Carter? The public panic would be more palpable than is currently felt.

In other words, the crash in oil prices (from the world deflationary crisis) plus the apparent lack of inflation (also caused by deflationary stresses) are allowing people to tell themselves that nothing is really wrong. Even as the Obama / Pelosi reich takes the wrecking ball to the economy, and hands control of the future of every American down the the third and fourth generation to friends and financiers in the labour movement, in the legal industry, in the banking and finance industries, and in the radical activist anti-energy dieoff.orgiast industry.

Obama owns this depression. He is working as fast as he can to dig the hole under the economy as deeply as possible. So far, no one seems any the wiser. The economic devastation for the near and medium future is already immense. The stresses on the integrity of the nation as a whole are starting to exceed allowable levels. But Obama-prompter is not likely to stop at the limits. He is certainly not aware of them.

If you are like most of the herd, you will see no reason to modify your behaviours in light of the narcissist in chief's full scale assault on the market economy. You will believe the news and entertainment media that the world is now in good hands. But if you are intelligent, you will calmly and deliberately begin making contingency plans just in case they are wrong.

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02 May 2009

Khan Academy: A Constantly Growing Universe


The Khan Academy video on the normal distribution above, was uploaded 3 days ago. As of today, there are 821 videos at Khan Academy on YouTube. The goal and ongoing mission of Khan Academy is to provide videos to "help anyone learn anything they want to learn".

As ambitious and impressive as it is, Khan Academy is just one man's attempt to help increase the human intellectual capital of the planet. The internet makes this kind of free, distributed, long-distance, learn-at-your-own-pace education much easier to provide. But it is the human mind of Salman Khan that conceived, created, and committed his time to making Khan Academy work.

Only a few humans, relatively speaking, possess the multi-disciplinary knowledge, expertise, and competence that the creator of Khan Academy possesses. But humans are capable of teaming up to provide a broad range of shared expertise, insight, wisdom, and experience across many different fields of knowledge. It is becoming possible to give oneself an incredibly broad education for the cost of your time and internet access. Thousands of capable humans are committed to making that option possible for you. If you know of someone who might benefit from their efforts, pass it on.

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Mental Tug of War Is Built Into Your Brain

Image Source
Conflict and competition is just the way the brain works. One part of your brain wants to do one thing, but another part wants to stop it, or to do something else instead. This is the war of the whorls, the way evolution built animal consciousness. The research described in the article quoted below involves a mental tug of war between two parts of the pre-frontal cortex. But this is a game the entire brain has to play.
Those who made good decisions and employed self-control exhibited more activity in the DLPFC region of the brain, where as the amount of activity in the vmPFC was similar in both groups. According to the lead author of the paper Todd Hare, "the vmPFC works during every decision. The DLPFC, on the other hand, is more active when you're employing self-control."

Based on their findings, the authors speculate on the evolution of our brains and the nature of self-control. They argue that the vmPFC originally evolved to predict or forecast the "short-term value of stimuli," and that humans gained the ability to examine the long-term considerations as structures such as the DLPFC evolved to modulate the short-term desire signal. While the experiments were limited to diet choices, the authors state that understanding the origins of self-control can have implications for areas as diverse as addiction science, economic policy, and even into determining whether someone is in full command of their decision-making facilities under the eyes of the law.

Science, 2009. DOI: 10.1126/science.1168450

_ArsTechnica
The simultaneous activation of tens of thousands of massively interconnected cortical columns and other brain centers leads to a somewhat limited number of "attractor states" of global brain activation. These states may last for an extremely brief instant before transitioning into other attractor states of global activation.

It happens much too quickly for the conscious mind to follow. You might say that the conscious mind is something of a dunce, in terms of what the brain itself is capable of. The conscious mind has to "freeze frame" simplified brain states via the rather clumsy imaging methods that humans have devised so far. If humans could devise an imaging system based upon the multi-level massive parallelism of the brain itself, progress in neuroscience would move a lot more quickly.

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01 May 2009

Carbon Hysteria Threatens World Economies

Yes, it's true. Carbon hysteria in Europe, Australia, the US, and elsewhere threatens to shut down businesses and industry, eliminate many millions of jobs, and raise the living costs of average people to an alarming degree. In the US:
Greenhouse gas cap-and-trade legislation such as that proposed by the Obama administration and under discussion in the House could result in the loss of more than 3 million jobs by 2030, according to a recently released report.

In addition, the legislation could cost the average household $2,100 annually, according to the report compiled on behalf of the Coalition for Affordable American Energy _Workforce
And in Australia:
AUSTRALIA'S electricity generators have warned the Rudd Government that power stations could face insolvency this year under an emissions trading scheme that forced such rapid change it risked "blowing up in their faces".

The National Generators Forum told a Senate committee yesterday that many power stations would simply not be able to afford the 100 to 200 per cent increase in operating costs under the current plan to require them to buy more than 80 per cent of necessary emissions permits. This would leave some insolvent and all struggling to find $50 billion in new and refinancing capital over the next five years. _Australian
The tragedy of these governmental policy blunders is that they are all totally unnecessary. There is no climate catastrophe brewing. The likely sea level rise between now and the year 2100 is approximately 3 1/2 inches. Antarctica is not losing ice -- in fact Antarctica is gaining sea ice at a startling rate. The far more realistic threat is global cooling, with deadly cold winters, shorter growing seasons and less rainfall leading to more global hunger.

And yet the idiot governments of the world insist upon shooting their citizens in the pocketbooks and in their livelihoods. Here is a short and incomplete list of the damaging effects of misguided government energy and climate policy:
1. Cap and Trade Is a Massive Energy Tax
2. It Will Not Make A Substantive Impact on the Environment
3. It Will Kill Jobs
4. It Will Cause Electricity Bills and Gas Prices to Sharply Increase
5. It Will Outsource Manufacturing Jobs and Hurt Free Trade
6. It Will Make You Choose Between Energy, Groceries, Clothing or Haircuts.
7. It Will Be Highly Susceptible to Fraud and Corruption
8. It Will Hurt Senior Citizens, the Poor, and the Unemployed the Worst
9. It Will Cost American Families Over $3,000 a Year
10. President Obama Admitted “Electricity Rates Would Necessarily Skyrocket” under a cap-and-trade program. (January 2008) _Heritage_via_TomNelson

H/T Bennie Peiser's CCNet Newsletter

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Foldable Helicopter: Perfect for Urban Survival!

If you live in a high rise apartment, deep inside a large city, you may have wondered how you could escape the unruly urban jungle, should the fecal matter hit the fan. Here is your answer: the Hummel Helicopter, which can be folded up and kept in a closet until it is needed. Simply roll the folded vehicle down the hallway to the elevator, go up to roof level, unfold the machine, and fly off to your retreat. Having a birds-eye view of miles of vehicles backed-up on the panic clogged freeways below, is an added bonus.
The “Hummel” (”bumble bee”) is a light helicopter for [a total of] two passengers. It can be used for passenger transport (air taxi), as well as for e.g. emergency transports like organs or units of stored blood and of course for conventional tasks of a helicopter like monitoring (e.g. coast guard, police, army, scientists) and to be mobile. The tandem rotor design guarantees a more efficient aircraft performance as the main-tail rotor design, without wasting fuel. _ImpactLab_via_dVice_via_Zoobota_via_DesignBlog
Terrafugia's Transition "driveable airplane" is another possibility, if you can find a long enough open stretch of pavement to use for a runway. Another alternative for those who live near a river, lake, or bay, is to keep an amphibious plane handy that can take off and land on either water or solid surface.

If you have ever been caught up in a large-scale evacuation of a large city, you will immediately understand the seriousness behind the silliness. In the past, such an evacuation might have been prompted by the approach of a hurricane. In the future, growing numbers of potentially predictable and emergent threats might trigger such an outrush of people.

Imagine if the current Swine Flu had been genengineered for maximum contagion and lethality? Just a few cases in the local emergency room might have been enough to trigger wide-scale panic and impromptu evacuation. A simple radioactive "dirty bomb" could accomplish the same mindless stampede without so much as a single fatality. As earthquakes and volcanoes become more predictable, evacuation plans will grow apace. Face it: getting out of a city in the midst of full-scale panic would not be easy or risk-free.

Check in with Survival Blog regularly, for a wide array of commentary on this and other survival topics.

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Obama Depression Continues to Unfold

Every day in the new Obama economy brings new surprises. The quasi-fascist economic policies of the new reich are making things very hard for businessmen and investors. A market economy is based upon a hard-won trust between the economic players. After a mere 100 days of Obama, that vital trust is being obliterated.

The latest ominous cloud on the horizon floats over the commercial mortgage market.
"On the street, the rumor is it is coming and it's going to come fast and furious. Some people are predicting September," said Paul Waters, a New York-based executive vice president of brokerage operations in North America for NAI Global, a top-five commercial real estate brokerage with operations around the globe.

Just as the housing meltdown did, the commercial real estate crunch is likely to begin as a slow bleed that gains momentum. It's likely to be spread evenly across the nation, in large part because of an outgoing economic tide that's spared few companies anywhere.

"There's going to be a lot of trouble on Main Street with some of these commercial and industrial buildings. The biggest impact will be on some of the smaller owners," Waters said. "The smaller local regional players that are stretched thin may have some great difficulties with their mortgages." _McClatchy_via_NewsAlert
As usual, governments are far too slow in reacting to the commercial real estate crisis to do any good. One state government is even pretending that there is no problem at all. Part of the problem may be the movement of jobs away from city centers.

Another aspect of the problem is demographic change. The US rust belt is being deserted in favour of the sun belt. Some cities and regions are simply dying off, like Europe. Much of the commercial and industrial infrastructure in those areas may lie neglected indefinitely, especially if the Obama / Pelosi reich's economic wrecking ball is allowed to continue for much longer.

Everything Obama does in the name of solving a problem, seems to make the problem worse in addition to creating new -- and worse -- problems. But as long as he has the news and entertainment media acting as enthusiastic cheerleaders and smokescreen machines, most of the oblivious public will remain oblivious.

Recruitment for Obama's "zombie sqad" brownshirt civilian enforcers should be quite brisk, as the productive economy continues to fall by the wayside. He promised change, and his wife promised he would make us all sacrifice. Even the Obamas' close friends in the Chicago law community are feeling the pinch. Perhaps before they can spread the wealth, they must first "spread the misery?"

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